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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Westerlo
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Seraing United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
44%
27%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
56%
45%
Both score Ø 45%
44%
45%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

65% Possession 35%
10 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 10. · Seraing United 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 11 10 0 1 +15 30
2 Genk 10 9 1 0 +19 28
3 Club Brugge 11 7 1 3 +11 22
4 St. Gilloise 9 7 1 1 +7 22
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 6 2 3 +3 20
6 Anderlecht 12 6 1 5 +9 19
7 Charleroi 12 6 0 6 +0 18
8 Standard 9 5 0 4 -1 15
9 Gent 8 4 1 3 +6 13
10 Westerlo 9 4 1 4 -1 13
11 St Truiden 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Kortrijk 12 4 1 7 -8 13
13 Oostende 12 3 3 6 -4 12
14 Mechelen 12 3 2 7 -5 11
15 Seraing 12 3 2 7 -8 11
16 Seraing United 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Eupen 12 3 0 9 -13 9
18 Waregem 12 2 2 8 -14 8
19 Cercle Brugge 8 1 3 4 -7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo Seraing United
12′
A. Bernier 0–1
M. Poaty
0–2 M. Poaty
own goal
28′
1–2 N. Dorgeles
N. Chadli
33′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 S. Lahssaini
↦ Vagner
48′
M. Mouandilmadji 1–3
M. Sambu
T. Dierckx 🔁
↦ H. Akbunar
64′
R. Neustädter 🔁
↦ Lucas Mineiro
64′
K. Vaesen 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
74′
M. Gümüşkaya 🔁
↦ L. Foster
74′
77′
🔁 L. Abanda
↦ M. Poaty
77′
🔁 Sérgio Conceição
↦ M. Sambu
79′
🟨 Marius Mouandilmadji
83′
🔁 S. Elisor
↦ M. Mouandilmadji
E. Jordanov 🔁
↦ N. Dorgeles
90′
90′
🔁 D. Opare
↦ S. Sissoko
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-4-2
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
23 R. Seigers D
24 R. Tagir D
11 M. De Cuyper D
35 H. Akbunar M
8 N. Madsen M
6 Lucas Mineiro M
5 N. Chadli M
9 L. Foster F
45 N. Dorgeles F
Bench (7)
55 T. Dierckx
33 R. Neustädter
14 K. Vaesen
17 M. Gümüşkaya
32 E. Jordanov
4 M. Fixelles
20 N. Gillekens

Coach: J. De Roeck

Seraing United

3-4-3
1 T. Galjé G
2 A. Sylla D
99 M. Mbow D
17 S. Trémoulet D
21 M. Sambu M
27 S. Sissoko M
6 M. Cachbach M
18 M. Poaty M
7 Vagner F
10 M. Mouandilmadji F
12 A. Bernier F
Bench (7)
15 S. Lahssaini
11 L. Abanda
35 Sérgio Conceição
9 S. Elisor
40 D. Opare
16 T. Martin
5 S. Mvoué

Coach: J. Jeunechamps

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.