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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Mechelen
T T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Waregem
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
31%
25%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
75%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 13. · Waregem 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 13 1 0 +30 40
2 St. Gilloise 13 11 1 1 +16 34
3 Antwerp 14 11 0 3 +14 33
4 Club Brugge 14 10 1 3 +17 31
5 Gent 13 7 2 4 +9 23
6 Anderlecht 15 7 1 7 +9 22
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 6 4 5 +0 22
8 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
9 Standard 12 7 0 5 +3 21
10 St Truiden 15 5 5 5 -2 20
11 Cercle Brugge 13 5 4 4 +2 19
12 Westerlo 13 5 2 6 -5 17
13 Mechelen 16 5 2 9 -7 17
14 Kortrijk 16 4 3 9 -12 15
15 Oostende 16 4 3 9 -13 15
16 Waregem 16 4 2 10 -15 14
17 Eupen 16 4 0 12 -18 12
18 Seraing 15 3 2 10 -11 11
19 Seraing United 15 3 2 10 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Waregem
1–0 B. Verstraete
G. Hairemans
16′
36′
🟨 Nnamdi Chinonso Offor
1–1 N. Dismas
own goal
41′
44′
🟨 Abdoulaye Sissako
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Sangaré
↦ C. Of
54′
M. Sangaré 1–2
A. Fadera
55′
ℹ️ Zinho Gano
VAR: Goal confirmed
62′
J. Vossen 1–3
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ N. Storm
63′
J. Van Hecke 🔁
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
63′
66′
🟨 Nicolas Rommens
75′
🟨 Abdoulaye Sissako
75′
🟥 Abdoulaye Sissako
Jannes Van Hecke 🟨
80′
F. Soelle Soelle 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
82′
82′
🔁 O. Drambaev
↦ A. Fadera
82′
🔁 L. Vigen
↦ J. Vossen
90′
🔁 A. Ndour
↦ Zinho Gano
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
27 D. Bates D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
66 B. Verstraete M
22 Alessio Da Cruz M
16 R. Schoofs M
7 G. Hairemans F
9 J. Ngoy F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Malede
6 J. Van Hecke
28 F. Soelle Soelle
17 S. Oum Gouet
39 M. Robberechts
15 Y. Thoelen
23 T. Peyre

Coach: S. Defour

Waregem

4-3-3
25 L. Bostyn G
14 A. Ciranni D
18 M. Tambedou D
31 L. Willen D
26 N. Dismas D
20 N. Rommens M
27 C. Offor M
6 A. Sissako M
9 J. Vossen F
93 Zinho Gano F
7 A. Fadera F
Bench (7)
10 M. Sangaré
5 O. Drambaev
8 L. Vigen
11 A. Ndour
22 B. Sørmo
1 S. Bossut
17 P. Diop

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
4,00
B
4,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.