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Süper Lig
Referee: Ç Altay
Ad. Demirspor
S U S U T
2–3
Full-time
Sivasspor
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
43%
46%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 7. · Sivasspor 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 29 21 7 1 +33 70
2 Konyaspor 29 16 7 6 +16 55
3 Buyuksehyr 28 14 5 9 +13 47
4 Fenerbahce 28 13 8 7 +11 47
5 Alanyaspor 28 13 7 8 +9 46
6 Hatayspor 29 14 4 11 +2 46
7 Ad. Demirspor 28 12 9 7 +14 45
8 Besiktas 28 12 9 7 +6 45
9 Karagumruk 29 11 7 11 -10 40
10 Kayserispor 29 10 8 11 -2 38
11 Gaziantep 28 10 7 11 -3 37
12 Kasimpasa 29 9 8 12 +0 35
13 Galatasaray 28 9 8 11 -4 35
14 Antalyaspor 28 9 8 11 -6 35
15 Sivasspor 28 8 10 10 +0 34
16 Giresunspor 28 9 5 14 -3 32
17 Altay 29 8 5 16 -11 29
18 Goztep 29 7 6 16 -12 27
19 Rizespor 29 6 5 18 -27 23
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 29 5 5 19 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Sivasspor
28′
Pedro Henrique 0–1
M. Gradel
42′
🟨 Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Half-time 0–2
54′
Pedro Henrique 0–2
E. Yeşilyurt
1–2 B. Stambouli
M. Balotelli
58′
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ Birkir Bjarnason
60′
Y. Belhanda 🔁
↦ M. Vargas
60′
Yunus Akgün ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
66′
67′
🔁 M. Konaté
↦ O. Kayode
2–2 M. Balotelli
68′
Arijanet Murić 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Moussa Konaté
G. İnler 🔁
↦ S. Kurt
80′
A. Uludağ 🔁
↦ K. Kanak
80′
81′
🔁 I. Cofie
↦ F. Fajr
83′
🟨 Ziya Erdal
Tayyip Talha Sanuç 🟨
84′
Mario Balotelli ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
90′
ℹ️ Max Gradel
VAR: Penalty awarded
D. Akintola 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
92′
92′
Pedro Henrique 2–3
97′
🔁 U. Çiftçi
↦ Z. Erdal
98′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ F. Ulvestad
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
6 K. Kanak D
22 J. Svensson D
5 S. Akaydin D
2 T. Sanuç D
67 Birkir Bjarnason M
90 B. Stambouli M
8 S. Kurt M
77 M. Vargas M
9 M. Balotelli F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
7 B. Assombalonga
10 Y. Belhanda
88 G. İnler
25 A. Uludağ
11 D. Akintola
66 İ. Çokçalış
35 F. Kaplan
80 D. Đoković
50 E. Öztümer
91 S. Deli

Coach: V. Montella

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
58 Z. Erdal D
6 D. Goutas D
7 M. Gradel M
37 H. Arslan M
76 F. Fajr M
16 Pedro Henrique M
23 F. Ulvestad M
17 E. Yeşilyurt D
8 O. Kayode F
Bench (9)
15 M. Konaté
5 I. Cofie
14 S. Camara
3 U. Çiftçi
11 Jorge Félix
62 Ö. Yiğiter
77 A. Oğuz
10 S. Yılmaz
25 M. Yıldırım

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,53
B ✓
3,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ç Altay · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.