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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Sociedad

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Alaves

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 32%

44%

19%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

26%

44%

Both score Ø 37%

30%

44%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 7

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 7. · Alaves 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	27	19	6	2	+35	63
2	Sevilla	28	15	11	2	+21	56
3	Ath Madrid	28	15	6	7	+16	51
4	Betis	28	15	4	9	+15	49
5	Barcelona	26	13	9	4	+19	48
6	Villarreal	28	12	9	7	+22	45
7	Sociedad	27	12	8	7	-1	44
8	Ath Bilbao	28	10	10	8	+5	40
9	Valencia	28	9	10	9	-2	37
10	Celta	28	9	8	11	+1	35
11	Osasuna	27	9	8	10	-5	35
12	Espanol	28	8	9	11	-7	33
13	Vallecano	27	9	5	13	-4	32
14	Elche	28	8	8	12	-9	32
15	Getafe	28	6	10	12	-6	28
16	Mallorca	27	6	8	13	-19	26
17	Granada	28	5	10	13	-16	25
18	Cadiz	28	4	12	12	-17	24
19	Alaves	27	5	7	15	-23	22
20	Levante	28	3	10	15	-25	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+23	34
2	Sevilla	13	10	3	0	+17	33
3	Villarreal	15	9	4	2	+21	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+12	30
5	Vallecano	14	8	3	3	+11	27
6	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+14	26
7	Betis	15	8	2	5	+9	26
8	Espanol	14	7	4	3	+5	25
9	Sociedad	13	7	4	2	+4	25
10	Ath Bilbao	13	7	2	4	+8	23
11	Getafe	14	6	4	4	+6	22
12	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
13	Elche	13	5	5	3	+2	20
14	Celta	14	5	3	6	+1	18
15	Mallorca	14	4	6	4	-1	18
16	Granada	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Alaves	14	4	4	6	-5	16
18	Osasuna	14	3	6	5	-8	15
19	Levante	14	2	7	5	-5	13
20	Cadiz	14	1	8	5	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Betis	13	7	2	4	+6	23
3	Sevilla	15	5	8	2	+4	23
4	Barcelona	14	5	7	2	+5	22
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	3	5	+4	21
6	Osasuna	13	6	2	5	+3	20
7	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	-5	19
8	Celta	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	Ath Bilbao	15	3	8	4	-3	17
10	Valencia	14	4	4	6	-6	16
11	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	+1	14
12	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
13	Elche	15	3	3	9	-11	12
14	Granada	14	1	6	7	-11	9
15	Espanol	14	1	5	8	-12	8
16	Mallorca	13	2	2	9	-18	8
17	Getafe	14	0	6	8	-12	6
18	Alaves	13	1	3	9	-18	6
19	Levante	14	1	3	10	-20	6
20	Vallecano	13	1	2	10	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.