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2. Bundesliga
Ingolstadt
S U U T T
0–3
Full-time
Schalke 04
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ingolstadt Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
12%
48%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
64%
60%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
64%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 3
18 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ingolstadt 18. · Schalke 04 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 26 14 6 6 +20 48
2 St Pauli 26 14 6 6 +15 48
3 Werder Bremen 26 14 6 6 +14 48
4 Nurnberg 25 12 6 7 +3 42
5 Heidenheim 26 12 6 8 +0 42
6 Hamburg 25 10 11 4 +19 41
7 Schalke 04 25 12 5 8 +17 41
8 Paderborn 26 9 10 7 +9 37
9 Karlsruhe 25 8 9 8 +3 33
10 Regensburg 25 9 5 11 +4 32
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 8 7 11 -1 31
12 Hansa Rostock 26 8 7 11 -9 31
13 Holstein Kiel 26 8 7 11 -10 31
14 Hannover 25 8 7 10 -11 31
15 Sandhausen 26 7 9 10 -13 30
16 Dresden 26 7 6 13 -10 27
17 Erzgebirge Aue 25 4 7 14 -24 19
18 Ingolstadt 25 3 6 16 -26 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,49
U
3,92
B ✓
1,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.