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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
St. Gilloise
S S S S S
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
5,2
3,7
Scored
4,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 13/16 matches
Win Ø 52%
85%
19%
Points per game
2,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
77%
56%
Both score Ø 65%
54%
75%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,1
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 13 11 1 1 +28 34
2 Anderlecht 13 6 6 1 +14 24
3 Genk 14 7 3 4 +11 24
4 Kortrijk 16 6 6 4 +3 24
5 Charleroi 13 6 5 2 +9 23
6 Antwerp 13 7 2 4 +6 23
7 Mechelen 14 7 2 5 +1 23
8 Standard 16 6 5 5 -5 23
9 Club Brugge 12 6 4 2 +6 22
10 Eupen 16 6 3 7 +1 21
11 St Truiden 15 6 3 6 -4 21
12 Oostende 16 6 2 8 -12 20
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 3 8 5 -8 17
14 Gent 13 4 4 5 +3 16
15 Seraing 15 5 1 9 -9 16
16 Seraing United 15 5 1 9 -9 16
17 Waregem 16 3 5 8 -16 14
18 Beerschot VA 16 3 3 10 -10 12
19 Cercle Brugge 16 2 4 10 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven
13′
C. De Norre 0–1
S. Chakla
Dante Vanzeir 🟨
34′
40′
M. Maertens 0–2
S. Kaba
Half-time 0–2
K. Mitoma 🔁
↦ D. Marcq
46′
Deniz Undav ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
49′
1–2 K. Mitoma
T. Teuma
51′
53′
🟨 Kristiyan Malinov
58′
🟨 Xavier Mercier
62′
🟨 Cenk Özkaçar
67′
X. Mercier 1–3
S. Schrijvers
M. Sorinola 🔁
↦ J. Bager
72′
74′
🔁 M. Keita
↦ K. Malinov
Bart Nieuwkoop 🟨
77′
Matthew Sorinola 🟨
79′
G. François 🔁
↦ S. Van der Heyden
88′
L. Amani 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
88′
F. Avenatti 🔁
↦ T. Teuma
88′
90′
🔁 K. Rezaei
↦ S. Kaba
92′
🔁 A. De Sart
↦ X. Mercier
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
4 J. Bager D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
25 D. Marcq M
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
Bench (7)
18 K. Mitoma
7 M. Sorinola
19 G. François
8 L. Amani
90 F. Avenatti
21 L. Pirard
59 I. Kandouss

Coach: F. Mazzù

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
13 R. Rúnarsson G
6 S. Dewaest D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
4 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier F
33 M. Maertens F
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 Mousa Al-Tamari M
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (7)
27 M. Keita
21 A. De Sart
99 K. Rezaei
90 R. Romo
15 D. Ouédraogo
5 P. Ngawa
19 L. Shengelia

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,30
U
5,88
B ✓
8,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.