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Pro League
Charleroi
T U T U S
4–0
Full-time
Mechelen
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 23/27 matches
Win Ø 36%
35%
37%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
70%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
70%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 11. · Mechelen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 19 1 5 +42 58
2 Gent 24 14 7 3 +24 49
3 Anderlecht 24 14 7 3 +17 49
4 Genk 22 13 3 6 +16 42
5 Oostende 24 11 6 7 +7 39
6 Standard 28 12 3 13 -11 39
7 Mechelen 27 10 6 11 -3 36
8 Waregem 25 9 6 10 +0 33
9 Kortrijk 26 8 9 9 -1 33
10 Lokeren 28 8 7 13 -7 31
11 Charleroi 23 8 6 9 -1 30
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 7 9 12 -10 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 28 8 4 16 -15 28
16 Beveren 28 7 5 16 -23 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Apr -16 Mechelen – Charleroi 2–3

Match report

Charleroi Mechelen
1–0 S. Ninis
23′
2–0 J. Perbet
25′
34′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ L. Paulussen
3–0 A. Baby
36′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 N. Ben Khalifa
↦ T. Matthys
73′
🔁 D. Veselinović
↦ S. Hanni
E. Sağlık 🔁
↦ S. Ninis
78′
4–0 J. Perbet
D. Marcq
81′
B. Boulenger 🔁
↦ A. Baby
82′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
29 S. Ninis
25 D. Marcq
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
88 D. N'Dongala
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
28 E. Sağlık
5 B. Boulenger
6 G. Zajkov
7 C. Tainmont
10 D. Pollet
22 G. François
35 P. Mandanda

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen
23 U. Vitas
16 A. Bjelica
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
11 M. Rits
77 G. Claes
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
30 J. Vanlerberghe
17 N. Ben Khalifa
9 D. Veselinović
8 R. Leal
15 E. Cocalić
33 A. El Messaoudi
49 A. Moris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.