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Pro League
Referee: Lothar D'hondt
Genk
T U U S T
0–2
Full-time
Waregem
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 10. · Waregem 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Antwerp 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Standard 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Gent 2 1 1 0 +5 4
7 Kortrijk 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Mouscron 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Genk 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Anderlecht 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 Charleroi 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Eupen 4 0 2 2 -8 2
14 Waasland-Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
15 Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Cercle Brugge 3 0 0 3 -6 0
17 Waregem 2 0 0 2 -6 0
18 St Truiden 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Waregem
6′
H. Bjørdal 0–1
M. Bürki
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 Henrik Bjørdal
65′
🟨 Marco Burki
S. Odey 🔁
↦ I. Hagi
68′
78′
S. Berahino 0–2
C. Larin
M. Benson 🔁
↦ J. Paintsil
80′
J. Piotrowski 🔁
↦ S. Berge
88′
Bryan Heynen 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
28 G. Coucke G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
31 J. Mæhle M
23 I. Hagi M
25 S. Berge M
8 B. Heynen M
10 M. Samatta F
7 J. Ito
11 J. Paintsil F
Bench (7)
15 S. Odey
22 M. Benson
19 J. Piotrowski
2 C. De Norre
46 C. Cuesta
4 D. Wouters
26 M. Vandevoordt

Coach: F. Mazzù

Waregem

4-3-3
1 S. Bossut G
2 D. De fauw D
45 O. Deschacht D
23 M. Bürki D
33 C. Humphreys D
21 I. Seck M
20 H. Bjørdal M
7 L. Zarandia F
10 O. Govea M
38 S. Berahino F
9 C. Larin F
Bench (7)
17 M. Soisalo
67 J. Van Hecke
43 N. Kainourgios
14 S. Walsh
5 D. Marcq
24 E. Pletinckx
44 E. Bansen

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,23
U
6,29
B ✓
10,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,34
U2,5 ✓
3,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lothar D'hondt · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.