Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Lecce
Verona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 0–0
The table before the match Lecce 20. · Verona 13. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Lazio
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |
Bologna
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 |
Inter
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Atalanta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Torino
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Udinese
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Napoli
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 9 |
Milan
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 10 |
Brescia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 11 |
Roma
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Verona
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 14 |
Fiorentina
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Sassuolo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Spal
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 |
Lecce
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
Lecce
4-3-1-2Bench (12)
Coach: F. Liverani
Verona
3-4-1-2
Amir Rrahmani
D
Marash Kumbulla
D
Sofyan Amrabat
M
Liam Henderson
F
Gennaro Tutino
F
Mattia Zaccagni
F
Bench (12)
Coach: I. Juric
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Referee
J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.