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Referee: L Pairetto

U T U T T

4–1

Full-time

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

0%

0%

Points per game

0,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

0%

Average goals

3,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

70% Possession 30%

11 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sassuolo 15. · Sampdoria 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Mar -19 Sassuolo – Sampdoria 3–5 22. Oct -18 Sampdoria – Sassuolo 0–0 6. May -18 Sassuolo – Sampdoria 1–0 17. Dec -17 Sampdoria – Sassuolo 0–1 15. Apr -17 Sassuolo – Sampdoria 2–1

Match report

Sassuolo Sampdoria

11′

🟨 Omar Colley

Alfred Duncan 🟨

16′

1–0 Domenico Berardi ⚽

Francesco Caputo

29′

2–0 Domenico Berardi ⚽

Alfred Duncan

36′

3–0 Domenico Berardi ⚽

Alfred Duncan

43′

45′

🟥 Ronaldo Vieira

Half-time 3–0

46′

🔁 Édgar Barreto

↦ Mehdi Léris

4–0 Hamed Junior Traorè ⚽

47′

54′

🔁 Alex Ferrari

↦ Jakub Jankto

61′

🔁 Gianluca Caprari

↦ Gastón Ramírez

64′

🟨 Fabio Quagliarella

67′

⚽ Fabio Quagliarella 4–1

Jérémie Boga 🔁

↦ Domenico Berardi

75′

Luca Mazzitelli 🔁

↦ Alfred Duncan

79′

Filip Đuričić 🔁

↦ Manuel Locatelli

84′

87′

🟨 Gianluca Caprari

Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-1-2

47 Andrea Consigli G

17

Mert Müldür D

2 Marlon D

31 Gianmarco Ferrari D

13 Federico Peluso D

8 Alfred Duncan M

14 Pedro Obiang M

73

Manuel Locatelli M

23

Hamed Junior Traorè M

25

Domenico Berardi F

9 Francesco Caputo F

Bench (12)

56 Gianluca Pegolo

33 Alessandro Tripaldelli

3 Edoardo Goldaniga

22 Jeremy Toljan

10 Filip Đuričić

44 Andrea Ghion

36 Luca Mazzitelli

32 Alessandro Matri

7 Jérémie Boga

18 Giacomo Raspadori

11 Grégoire Defrel

99 Enrico Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Sampdoria

4-3-3

1

Emil Audero G

24

Bartosz Bereszyński D

21 Jeison Murillo D

15 Omar Colley D

29 Nicola Murru D

4 Ronaldo Vieira M

6 Albin Ekdal M

14 Jakub Jankto M

11 Gastón Ramírez F

27 Fabio Quagliarella F

26

Mehdi Léris F

Bench (12)

35 Lorenzo Avogadri

30 Wladimiro Falcone

12 Fabio Depaoli

3 Tommaso Augello

25 Alex Ferrari

5 Julian Chabot

7 Karol Linetty

8 Édgar Barreto

18 Morten Thorsby

17 Gianluca Caprari

9 Federico Bonazzoli

23 Manolo Gabbiadini

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

2,27

🔒

U

3,49

🔒

B

3,12

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,73

🔒

U2,5

2,11

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

25. Aug SA 7 years ago

26. May SA 7 years ago

18. May SA 7 years ago

12. May SA 7 years ago

5. May SA 7 years ago

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

25,4 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.