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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Anderlecht
U U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Standard
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,0
This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 15. · Standard 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 6 5 0 1 +12 15
2 Club Brugge 6 4 2 0 +12 14
3 Genk 7 4 1 2 +6 13
4 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 12
5 Mechelen 7 3 3 1 +5 12
6 Charleroi 6 3 2 1 +7 11
7 Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
9 Oostende 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Kortrijk 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Gent 5 2 1 2 +5 7
12 Waregem 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 St Truiden 7 2 1 4 -7 7
14 Cercle Brugge 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Anderlecht 6 0 3 3 -4 3
16 Eupen 8 0 3 5 -14 3
17 Waasland-Beveren 6 0 1 5 -14 1
18 Beveren 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Standard
1–0 A. Saelemaekers
N. Chadli
31′
M. Vlap 🔁
↦ P. Gerkens
36′
Half-time 1–0
Alexis Saelemaekers 🟨
53′
A. Lokonga 🔁
↦ P. Žulj
63′
67′
🔁 A. Limbombe
↦ S. Amallah
Sieben Dewaele 🟨
71′
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
73′
76′
🔁 A. Boljević
↦ R. Emond
86′
🔁 D. Drăguş
↦ S. Bastien
87′
🟨 Mehdi Carcela-González
90′
🟨 Paul-José Mpoku
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-1-4-1
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 E. Cobbaut D
34 P. Sandler D
56 A. Saelemaekers D
54 K. Sardella D
19 N. Chadli M
23 P. Žulj M
8 P. Gerkens M
50 S. Dewaele M
51 Y. Verschaeren M
24 I. Thelin F
Bench (7)
10 M. Vlap
48 A. Lokonga
40 F. Amuzu
39 E. Kayembe
33 D. Roef
17 L. Adžić
32 D. Luckassen

Coach: S. Davies

Standard

4-2-3-1
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
27 M. Vojvoda D
10 M. Carcela M
8 G. Cimirot M
40 P. M'Poku F
20 M. Bokadi M
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah M
9 R. Emond F
Bench (7)
14 A. Limbombe
18 A. Boljević
12 D. Drăguş
30 V. Savić
23 S. Miangue
21 C. Fai
4 D. Lavalée

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,52
B
3,18
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.