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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Jerv
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 58%
85%
30%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
55%
Both score Ø 63%
60%
65%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Jerv 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 20 17 2 1 +28 53
2 Start 21 14 3 4 +16 45
3 Sandefjord 21 13 6 2 +14 45
4 KFUM Oslo 20 10 5 5 +14 35
5 Sogndal 21 10 3 8 +8 33
6 Kongsvinger 21 10 3 8 +1 33
7 Raufoss 20 10 1 9 -3 31
8 Nest-Sotra 20 8 6 6 +7 30
9 Jerv 20 6 8 6 -3 26
10 Ull/Kisa 20 7 3 10 +0 24
11 Sandnes ULF 21 6 5 10 -3 23
12 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 -6 23
13 Notodden 20 5 2 13 -12 17
14 Skeid 21 3 7 11 -12 16
15 Strommen 20 3 7 10 -14 16
16 Tromsdalen Uil 21 2 2 17 -35 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Jerv
10′
🔁 O. Håbestad
↦ A. Dang
A. Thrandarson 🟨
27′
45′
🟨 M. Wichmann
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Agdestein
51′
2–0 T. Agdestein
53′
58′
🔁 L. Ferreira
↦ A. Okachi
62′
🔁 H. Suggelia
↦ M. Wichmann
H. Fridjonsson 🔁
↦ H. Guèye
64′
3–0 A. Þrándarson
77′
Nenass 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
78′
4–0 N. Castro
82′
S. Fet 🔁
↦ N. Castro
84′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
6 K. Ramsteijn
3 D. Grétarsson
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
11 A. Þrándarson
23 T. Agdestein
9 N. Castro
14 H. Guèye
Bench (7)
10 H. Fridjonsson
7 Nenass
17 S. Fet
15 S. Sæthre
25 K. Hay
26 M. Berntzen
27 W. Azofeifa

Coach: L. Bohinen

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
4 E. Knudsen
3 B. Hove
7 S. Larsen
6 M. Wichmann
8 T. Zernichow
11 D. Aase
98 M. Baidoo
18 J. Solli
22 A. Dang
96 A. Okachi
Bench (5)
23 O. Håbestad
9 L. Ferreira
13 H. Suggelia
1 B. Boujar
5 P. Reinhardsen

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.