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Primeira Liga
Referee: G Correia
Casa Pia
U T U S T
0–2
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Casa Pia Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,43 xG 2,85
33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 27
2 Shots on target 12
2 Blocked shots 6
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Casa Pia Sp Lisbon
João Goulart 🟨
4′
Cassiano 🟨
12′
Rafael Brito 🟨
25′
42′
Trincao 0–1
P. Goncalves
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 Pedro Gonçalves
53′
🔁 R. Mangas
↦ M. Araujo
A. Geraldes 🔁
↦ J. Goulart
57′
R. Nhaga 🔁
↦ R. Brito
57′
58′
🔁 Z. Debast
↦ O. Diomande
58′
🔁 G. Quenda
↦ G. Catamo
62′
M. Hjulmand 0–2
Trincao
K. Osundina 🔁
↦ K. Nsona
71′
Renato Nhaga 🟨
76′
Miguel Sousa 🔁
↦ F. Benaissa-Yahia
82′
M. Svensson 🔁
↦ G. Larrazabal
82′
84′
🔁 C. Harder
↦ P. Goncalves
85′
🔁 G. Kochorashvili
↦ H. Morita
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Casa Pia

5-4-1
1 P. Sequeira G
72 G. Larrazabal D
4 J. Goulart D
6 J. Fonte D
2 D. Tchamba D
12 F. Benaissa-Yahia D
29 J. Livolant M
20 Y. Oukili M
8 R. Brito M
7 K. Nsona M
90 Cassiano F
Bench (9)
22 D. Azevedo
27 Kaique Rocha
3 Kaly
18 A. Geraldes
24 I. Mohamed
74 R. Nhaga
14 Miguel Sousa
13 K. Osundina
9 M. Svensson

Coach: Alvaro Pacheco

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Silva G
22 I. Fresneda D
26 O. Diomande D
25 G. Inacio D
20 M. Araujo D
42 M. Hjulmand M
5 H. Morita M
10 G. Catamo M
17 Trincao M
8 P. Goncalves M
97 L. Suarez F
Bench (9)
12 J. Virginia
91 R. Mangas
6 Z. Debast
72 E. Quaresma
13 G. Vagiannidis
14 G. Kochorashvili
7 G. Quenda
9 C. Harder
27 Alisson Santos

Coach: Rui Borges

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,14
U
5,11
B ✓
1,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Correia · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.