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Conference League
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Sp Braga
S T S U S
0–4
Full-time
Fiorentina
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,30 xG 1,54
40% Possession 60%
4 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Braga Fiorentina
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ L. Jović 0–1
C. Biraghi
Bruma 🔁
↦ Iuri Medeiros
46′
50′
🟨 Lorenzo Venuti
Vítor Tormena 🟥
55′
Vítor Tormena ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
55′
Paulo Oliveira 🔁
↦ U. Račić
58′
60′
⚽ L. Jović 0–2
R. Saponara
S. Banza 🔁
↦ Abel Ruiz
68′
Álvaro Djaló 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
68′
68′
🔁 Dodô
↦ L. Venuti
Castro 🔁
↦ Ali Musrati
72′
75′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ L. Jović
79′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 0–3
C. Biraghi
82′
🔁 J. Ikoné
↦ R. Saponara
82′
🔁 A. Barák
↦ R. Mandragora
82′
🔁 C. Kouamé
↦ N. González
86′
🟨 Christian Kouamé
89′
🟨 Jonathan Ikoné
90′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 0–4
J. Ikoné
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
3 Vítor Tormena D
4 S. Niakaté D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
45 Iuri Medeiros M
8 Ali Musrati M
19 U. Račić M
21 Ricardo Horta M
10 André Horta F
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (12)
27 Bruma
15 Paulo Oliveira
23 S. Banza
14 Álvaro Djaló
88 Castro
12 Tiago Sá
7 Rodrigo Gomes
22 Pizzi
17 J. Mendes
89 Pedro Santos
5 S. Saatçı
26 C. Borja

Coach: Artur Jorge

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
23 L. Venuti D
4 N. Milenković D
98 Igor D
3 C. Biraghi D
5 G. Bonaventura M
34 S. Amrabat M
38 R. Mandragora M
22 N. González F
7 L. Jović F
8 R. Saponara F
Bench (12)
2 Dodô
9 Arthur Cabral
11 J. Ikoné
72 A. Barák
99 C. Kouamé
28 L. Martínez
32 A. Duncan
56 S. Sirigu
42 A. Bianco
10 G. Castrovilli
16 L. Ranieri
15 A. Terzić

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.