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Conference League
Referee: B Bastien
Fiorentina
S T T S U
3–2
Full-time
Sp Braga
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 89%
78%
100%
Both score Ø 22%
44%
0%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,2
0,0
Conceded
0,8
4,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,81 xG 0,81
49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -23 Sp Braga – Fiorentina 0–4

Match report

Fiorentina Sp Braga
16′
⚽ Castro 0–1
34′
⚽ Álvaro Djaló 0–2
S. Banza
1–2 R. Mandragora ⚽
G. Bonaventura
37′
Dodô 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–2
A. Terzić 🔁
↦ Dodô
46′
Arthur Cabral ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
Nicolás González 🟨
56′
2–2 R. Saponara ⚽
G. Bonaventura
58′
J. Ikoné 🔁
↦ N. González
60′
G. Castrovilli 🔁
↦ A. Bianco
60′
62′
🔁 Ricardo Horta
↦ André Horta
62′
🔁 U. Račić
↦ Pizzi
Cristiano Biraghi 🟨
70′
Lucas Martínez Quarta 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 Abel Ruiz
↦ S. Banza
72′
🔁 Bruma
↦ Álvaro Djaló
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ R. Saponara
74′
S. Amrabat 🔁
↦ R. Mandragora
77′
81′
🔁 S. Saatçı
↦ S. Niakaté
3–2 Arthur Cabral ⚽
G. Bonaventura
83′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
56 S. Sirigu G
2 Dodô D
28 L. Martínez D
16 L. Ranieri D
3 C. Biraghi D
5 G. Bonaventura M
42 A. Bianco M
38 R. Mandragora M
22 N. González F
9 Arthur Cabral F
8 R. Saponara F
Bench (12)
15 A. Terzić
11 J. Ikoné
10 G. Castrovilli
77 J. Brekalo
34 S. Amrabat
33 R. Sottil
7 L. Jović
32 A. Duncan
98 Igor
99 C. Kouamé
72 A. Barák
1 P. Terracciano

Coach: V. Italiano

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
12 Tiago Sá G
17 J. Mendes D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
4 S. Niakaté D
26 C. Borja D
88 Castro M
10 André Horta M
7 Rodrigo Gomes M
22 Pizzi M
14 Álvaro Djaló M
23 S. Banza F
Bench (12)
21 Ricardo Horta
19 U. Račić
9 Abel Ruiz
27 Bruma
5 S. Saatçı
1 Matheus
2 Víctor Gómez
29 J. Gorby
45 Iuri Medeiros
6 Nuno Sequeira
11 Roger Fernandes
89 Pedro Santos

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.