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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Bielefeld
S T T T U
3–1
Full-time
Darmstadt
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 44%
26%
61%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
39%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
20 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 16. · Darmstadt 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 23 14 7 2 +19 49
2 Hamburg 23 15 3 5 +18 48
3 Heidenheim 23 13 7 3 +20 46
4 Paderborn 23 12 3 8 +18 39
5 Kaiserslautern 24 10 9 5 +7 39
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 23 12 2 9 +8 38
7 St Pauli 23 9 8 6 +5 35
8 Holstein Kiel 23 8 9 6 +2 33
9 Karlsruhe 23 9 4 10 +2 31
10 Hannover 23 8 6 9 +1 30
11 Nurnberg 24 8 4 12 -15 28
12 Greuther Furth 23 6 9 8 -6 27
13 Magdeburg 23 8 3 12 -11 27
14 Hansa Rostock 23 7 3 13 -13 24
15 Braunschweig 24 5 7 12 -14 22
16 Bielefeld 23 6 3 14 -7 21
17 Sandhausen 24 5 6 13 -17 21
18 Regensburg 23 5 5 13 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Darmstadt
Half-time 0–1
54′
M. Honsak 0–1
M. Schuhen
58′
🔁 B. Manu
↦ M. Honsak
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ M. Okugawa
65′
1–1 M. Prietl
F. Klos
72′
B. Kanurić 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
73′
75′
🔁 J. Müller
↦ F. Stojilković
76′
🔁 M. Warming
↦ P. Tietz
T. Corbeanu 🔁
↦ C. Gebauer
86′
I. Lepinjica 🔁
↦ J. Consbruch
86′
87′
🔁 A. Seydel
↦ M. Mehlem
2–1 B. Kanurić
B. Lasme
91′
3–1 F. Klos
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-1-4-1
33 M. Fraisl G
7 C. Gebauer D
3 Guilherme Ramos D
30 A. Andrade D
5 B. Oczipka D
19 M. Prietl M
11 M. Okugawa M
14 J. Consbruch M
39 S. Vasiliadis M
21 R. Hack M
9 F. Klos F
Bench (9)
10 B. Lasme
37 B. Kanurić
20 T. Corbeanu
13 I. Lepinjica
22 S. Sidler
6 O. Hüsing
35 A. Schulz
23 J. Serra
4 F. Jäkel

Coach: U. Koschinat

Darmstadt

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
38 C. Riedel D
4 C. Zimmermann D
3 T. Isherwood D
19 E. Karic M
8 F. Schnellhardt M
6 M. Mehlem M
32 F. Holland M
18 M. Honsak F
9 P. Tietz F
40 F. Stojilković F
Bench (9)
7 B. Manu
20 J. Müller
14 M. Warming
22 A. Seydel
26 M. Bader
16 K. Bennetts
23 K. Gjasula
21 S. Kroll
17 F. Ronstadt

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,18
U
3,38
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.