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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

St Pauli

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Greuther Furth

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Greuther Furth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

39%

26%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

48%

61%

Both score Ø 63%

48%

78%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Pauli 7. · Greuther Furth 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	23	14	7	2	+19	49
2	Hamburg	23	15	3	5	+18	48
3	Heidenheim	23	13	7	3	+20	46
4	Paderborn	23	12	3	8	+18	39
5	Kaiserslautern	24	10	9	5	+7	39
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	23	12	2	9	+8	38
7	St Pauli	23	9	8	6	+5	35
8	Holstein Kiel	23	8	9	6	+2	33
9	Karlsruhe	23	9	4	10	+2	31
10	Hannover	23	8	6	9	+1	30
11	Nurnberg	24	8	4	12	-15	28
12	Greuther Furth	23	6	9	8	-6	27
13	Magdeburg	23	8	3	12	-11	27
14	Hansa Rostock	23	7	3	13	-13	24
15	Braunschweig	24	5	7	12	-14	22
16	Bielefeld	23	6	3	14	-7	21
17	Sandhausen	24	5	6	13	-17	21
18	Regensburg	23	5	5	13	-17	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	12	9	3	0	+19	30
2	Darmstadt	12	7	5	0	+12	26
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	8	1	2	+14	25
4	Hamburg	12	8	1	3	+11	25
5	Paderborn	12	8	0	4	+18	24
6	St Pauli	11	6	5	0	+11	23
7	Greuther Furth	12	5	6	1	+3	21
8	Kaiserslautern	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Nurnberg	12	6	1	5	+0	19
10	Hannover	11	5	2	4	+2	17
11	Karlsruhe	12	5	2	5	+0	17
12	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	+4	16
13	Braunschweig	12	4	3	5	+0	15
14	Regensburg	12	3	5	4	-7	14
15	Bielefeld	11	4	0	7	-1	12
16	Sandhausen	11	3	3	5	-7	12
17	Magdeburg	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	Hansa Rostock	12	3	1	8	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	11	7	2	2	+7	23
2	Darmstadt	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Kaiserslautern	12	5	4	3	+4	19
4	Holstein Kiel	12	4	5	3	-2	17
5	Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	+1	16
6	Magdeburg	12	5	1	6	-5	16
7	Paderborn	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	+2	14
9	Hansa Rostock	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-1	13
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	1	7	-6	13
12	St Pauli	12	3	3	6	-6	12
13	Bielefeld	12	2	3	7	-6	9
14	Sandhausen	13	2	3	8	-10	9
15	Nurnberg	12	2	3	7	-15	9
16	Braunschweig	12	1	4	7	-14	7
17	Greuther Furth	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Regensburg	11	2	0	9	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.