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Europa League
Referee: R Buquet
Sp Braga
U S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Malmo FF
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Europa League · 5/9 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
40%
44%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -22 Malmo FF – Sp Braga 0–2

Match report

Sp Braga Malmo FF
1–0 Ricardo Horta ⚽
36′
Half-time 1–0
Álvaro Djaló 🔁
↦ Abel Ruiz
46′
Paulo Oliveira 🟨
48′
2–0 Álvaro Djaló ⚽
55′
58′
🟨 Matěj Chaluš
Hernâni Infande 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Gomes
59′
U. Račić 🔁
↦ Ali Musrati
60′
61′
🔁 I. Kiese Thelin
↦ O. Toivonen
62′
🔁 P. Sejdiu
↦ Mohamed Turay
D. Lainez 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
74′
74′
🔁 S. Peña
↦ E. Rakip
77′
⚽ P. Sejdiu 2–1
I. Kiese Thelin
C. Borja 🔁
↦ Nuno Sequeira
79′
Hernani Infande 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
3 Vítor Tormena D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
7 Rodrigo Gomes M
8 Ali Musrati M
88 Castro M
21 Ricardo Horta M
9 Abel Ruiz F
23 S. Banza F
Bench (12)
14 Álvaro Djaló
71 Hernâni Infande
19 U. Račić
18 D. Lainez
26 C. Borja
24 Bruno Rodrigues
99 Vítor Oliveira
45 Iuri Medeiros
12 Tiago Sá
76 Dinis Pinto
4 S. Niakaté
10 André Horta

Coach: Artur Jorge

Malmo FF

5-3-2
27 J. Dahlin G
18 R. Gall D
14 F. Beijmo D
23 M. Chaluš D
21 D. Hadžikadunić D
5 S. Rieks D
7 E. Rakip M
31 H. Larsson M
10 A. Christiansen M
11 O. Toivonen F
33 Mohamed Turay F
Bench (8)
9 I. Kiese Thelin
36 P. Sejdiu
8 S. Peña
44 R. Adjei
30 I. Diawara
43 E. Makolli
3 J. Knudsen
39 V. Andersson

Coach: Å. Hareide

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.