Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heerenveen
Utrecht
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | +39 | +20.9 | 56 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +19 | +18.3 | 39 |
| 3 |
Nijmegen
|
20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | +18 | +6.8 | 38 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | +11 | +6.9 | 35 |
| 5 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | -7 | -2.8 | 35 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +1 | +13.3 | 32 |
| 7 |
Twente
|
21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | +7 | +20.7 | 31 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +4 | +11.3 | 31 |
| 9 |
Zwolle
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -13 | -14.7 | 26 |
| 10 |
For Sittard
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -5 | -13.8 | 25 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | +1 | +11.9 | 23 |
| 12 |
Excelsior
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -15 | -13.1 | 23 |
| 13 |
Utrecht
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | +3 | -1.6 | 22 |
| 14 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -3 | -12.1 | 21 |
| 15 |
Volendam
|
20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -14 | -20.1 | 17 |
| 16 |
Heracles
|
21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | -23 | -14.0 | 17 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -11 | -8.2 | 16 |
| 18 |
Telstar
|
21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -12 | -9.8 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Klaverboer
G
O. Braude
D
J. van Overeem
D
M. Willemsen
D
V. Zagaritis
D
M. Linday
M
L. Brouwers
M
J. Trenskow
M
R. Meerveld
M
M. Rivera
M
D. Vente
F
Coach: Robin Veldman
V. Barkas
G
N. Vesterlund
D
M. Didden
D
G. Zechiel
M
C. Bozdogan
M
A. Alarcon
F
D. de Wit
F
J. Karlsson
F
Coach: Ron Jans
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heerenveen
Groningen
Heerenveen
Waalwijk
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Heracles
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.