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Europa League
Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara
Celtic
T S S U U
4–2
Full-time
Utrecht
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/13 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
71%
46%
Both score Ø 63%
71%
54%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,66 xG 0,41
52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celtic Utrecht
1–0 B. Nygren
K. Tierney
6′
1–1 N. Viergever
own goal
10′
Auston Trusty ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
17′
2–1 A. Engels
19′
Yang Hyun-Jun 🟨
33′
Arne Engels 🟨
39′
44′
D. de Wit 2–2
N. Vesterlund
Half-time 2–2
61′
🔁 C. Bozdogan
↦ M. Rodriguez
61′
🔁 S. El Karouani
↦ D. Murkin
62′
A. Blake 2–3
G. Zechiel
64′
🟨 Souffian El Karouani
3–3 A. Trusty
A. Engels
66′
K. Iheanacho 🔁
↦ S. Tounekti
68′
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
68′
L. McCowan 🔁
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
78′
P. Bernardo 🔁
↦ A. Engels
78′
78′
🔁 B. Menzo
↦ Y. Cathline
86′
🔁 D. van den Berg
↦ A. Blake
86′
🔁 R. El Arguioui
↦ G. Zechiel
D. Murray 🔁
↦ K. Tierney
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Celtic

4-4-2
1 K. Schmeichel G
51 C. Donovan D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
23 S. Tounekti M
38 D. Maeda F
8 B. Nygren F
Bench (12)
12 V. Sinisalo
31 R. Doohan
10 M. Balikwisha
14 L. McCowan
17 K. Iheanacho
28 P. Bernardo
47 D. Murray
49 J. Forrest
50 S. Mcardle
56 A. Ralston
59 F. Hale
61 S. Isiguzo

Coach: Martin O'Neill

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
23 N. Vesterlund D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
55 D. Murkin D
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
15 A. Blake M
20 D. de Wit M
10 Y. Cathline M
22 M. Rodriguez F
Bench (10)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
6 D. van den Berg
8 C. Bozdogan
16 S. El Karouani
40 M. Didden
43 R. El Arguioui
46 J. van Ommeren
49 B. Menzo
91 S. Haller

Coach: Ron Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.