Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
Heracles
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | +36 | +19.3 | 53 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | +20 | +20.4 | 36 |
| 3 |
Nijmegen
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +16 | +6.8 | 35 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | +11 | +7.1 | 34 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | +3 | +13.3 | 32 |
| 6 |
Groningen
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +6 | +12.2 | 31 |
| 7 |
Twente
|
20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | +7 | +20.3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | -10 | -2.9 | 29 |
| 9 |
For Sittard
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -4 | -12.4 | 25 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | +1 | +11.9 | 23 |
| 11 |
Zwolle
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -16 | -15.8 | 23 |
| 12 |
Utrecht
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | +4 | -2.4 | 22 |
| 13 |
Excelsior
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -15 | -13.2 | 22 |
| 14 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -3 | -12.1 | 21 |
| 15 |
Volendam
|
20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -14 | -20.1 | 17 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -9 | -8.7 | 16 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -11 | -7.8 | 15 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -22 | -16.0 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Deijl
D
T. Watanabe
D
A. Ahmedhodzic
D
Hwang In-Beom
M
O. Targhalline
M
L. Valente
M
A. Hadj Moussa
F
A. Ueda
F
L. Sauer
F
Coach: Robin van Persie
I. Mesik
D
J. Zamburek
M
L. Zeefuik
F
Coach: Ernest Faber
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Feyenoord
Sturm Graz
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Twente
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.