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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
Feyenoord
T U U T S
4–2
Full-time
Heracles
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
58%
21%
Points per game
1,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
68%
74%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
53%
Average goals
3,9
3,9
Scored
2,5
1,4
Conceded
1,4
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,48 xG 2,05
66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 2. · Heracles 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 2 1 +36 +19.3 53
2 Feyenoord 19 11 3 5 +20 +20.4 36
3 Nijmegen 19 10 5 4 +16 +6.8 35
4 Ajax 19 9 7 3 +11 +7.1 34
5 AZ Alkmaar 20 9 5 6 +3 +13.3 32
6 Groningen 19 9 4 6 +6 +12.2 31
7 Twente 20 7 9 4 +7 +20.3 30
8 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 2 8 -10 -2.9 29
9 For Sittard 20 7 4 9 -4 -12.4 25
10 Heerenveen 18 6 5 7 +1 +11.9 23
11 Zwolle 20 6 5 9 -16 -15.8 23
12 Utrecht 17 6 4 7 +4 -2.4 22
13 Excelsior 20 6 4 10 -15 -13.2 22
14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 9 6 -3 -12.1 21
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 -14 -20.1 17
16 Telstar 20 3 7 10 -9 -8.7 16
17 NAC Breda 20 3 6 11 -11 -7.8 15
18 Heracles 19 4 2 13 -22 -16.0 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Heracles
Ayase Ueda ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
15′
1–0 L. Sauer
A. Hadj Moussa
23′
29′
L. Kulenovic 1–1
Luciano Valente 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 Lequincio Zeefuik
2–1 J. Bos
Hwang In-Beom
35′
39′
🟨 Ivan Mesík
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Wieckhoff
↦ T. Bruns
Timon Wellenreuther 🟨
55′
T. Kraaijeveld 🔁
↦ T. Watanabe
63′
C. Tengstedt 🔁
↦ A. Ueda
63′
72′
🔁 B. Limbombe
↦ W. Ould Chikh
76′
🔁 T. van Gilst
↦ M. Engels
S. Steijn 🔁
↦ L. Valente
77′
3–1 A. Hadj Moussa
M. Deijl
83′
4–1 C. Tengstedt
Hwang In-Beom
85′
J. Plug 🔁
↦ A. Ahmedhodzic
86′
A. Sliti 🔁
↦ L. Sauer
86′
86′
🔁 D. van der Kust
↦ I. Mesik
86′
🔁 M. te Wierik
↦ A. Van Hoorenbeeck
90′
T. van Gilst 4–2
D. van der Kust
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
20 M. Deijl D
4 T. Watanabe D
21 A. Ahmedhodzic D
15 J. Bos D
6 Hwang In-Beom M
28 O. Targhalline M
40 L. Valente M
23 A. Hadj Moussa F
9 A. Ueda F
16 L. Sauer F
Bench (12)
39 L. Bossin
37 M. Berger
2 B. Nieuwkoop
30 J. Lotomba
43 J. Plug
47 T. Kraaijeveld
14 S. Steijn
44 T. van den Elshout
32 A. Sliti
11 G. Borges
49 S. van Persie
17 C. Tengstedt

Coach: Robin van Persie

Heracles

4-4-2
16 T. Jansink G
2 M. Benita D
4 D. Mirani D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
24 I. Mesik D
73 W. Ould Chikh M
10 T. Bruns M
13 J. Zamburek M
8 M. Engels M
25 L. Zeefuik F
19 L. Kulenovic F
Bench (11)
30 R. Mantel
33 L. Zeevalkink
3 J. Wieckhoff
5 D. van der Kust
7 B. Limbombe
6 S. Cestic
39 S. Blokhuis
17 T. van Gilst
23 M. te Wierik
21 Y. Borges Sanches
27 J. Tijink

Coach: Ernest Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
6,27
B
9,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,32
U2,5
3,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.