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Super League
Referee: D Makkelie
AEK
S U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
74%
Points per game
2,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
30%
42%
Both score Ø 36%
35%
37%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,9
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 1. · Olympiakos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 20 15 3 2 +21 48
2 PAOK 19 15 2 2 +30 47
3 Olympiakos 19 14 4 1 +27 46
4 Levadeiakos 21 11 7 3 +25 40
5 Panathinaikos 19 8 6 5 +6 30
6 Aris Thessalonikis 19 6 7 6 -3 25
7 Aris 19 6 7 6 -3 25
8 Volos NFC 20 8 1 11 -10 25
9 OFI Crete 19 8 0 11 -6 24
10 Larisa 21 5 7 9 -10 22
11 Kifisia 19 4 7 8 -6 19
12 Panetolikos 21 5 3 13 -16 18
13 Atromitos 20 4 5 11 -7 17
14 Asteras Tripolis 20 2 8 10 -12 14
15 Panserraikos 20 2 3 15 -36 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Olympiakos
20′
🟨 Costinha
Half-time 0–0
A. Koita 🔁
↦ R. Ljubicic
46′
52′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
B. Varga 🔁
↦ Zini
57′
1–0 B. Varga
R. Marin
59′
61′
🟨 Daniel Podence
68′
🟨 Mehdi Taremi
71′
🔁 Andre Luiz
↦ Chiquinho
71′
🔁 G. Martins
↦ Costinha
Joao Mario 🔁
↦ M. Gacinovic
75′
Aboubakary Koita 🟨
82′
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ L. Jovic
85′
85′
🔁 C. Mouzakitis
↦ L. Scipioni
85′
🔁 Y. Yazici
↦ D. Podence
90′
M. Taremi 1–1
Răzvan Marin 🟨
92′
92′
🔁 B. Onyemaechi
↦ F. Ortega
Harold Moukoudi 🟨
93′
103′
ℹ️ André Luiz
VAR: Penalty confirmed
105′
🟨 Panagiotis Retsos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
23 R. Ljubicic M
13 O. Pineda M
18 R. Marin M
8 M. Gacinovic M
9 L. Jovic F
90 Zini F
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
15 M. Georgiev
21 D. Vida
29 J. Penrice
4 M. Grujic
10 Joao Mario
20 P. Mantalos
7 D. Kutesa
11 A. Koita
19 N. Eliasson
25 B. Varga

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
4 G. Biancone D
3 F. Ortega D
16 L. Scipioni M
32 S. Hezze M
23 Rodinei M
22 Chiquinho M
56 D. Podence M
99 M. Taremi F
Bench (11)
1 A. Paschalakis
31 N. Botis
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
8 D. Nascimento
14 D. Garcia
96 C. Mouzakitis
97 Y. Yazici
70 B. Onyemaechi
11 Andre Luiz
21 R. Vezo
10 G. Martins

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,62
U ✓
3,05
B
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.