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Premiership
Referee: R Macleod
Hibernian
S S S U T
0–0
Full-time
Rangers
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
39%
57%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
57%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
57%
52%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 0,18
45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Rangers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 24 16 6 2 +28 +12.3 54
2 Rangers 23 13 8 2 +20 +6.3 47
3 Celtic 23 14 3 6 +18 +10.2 45
4 Motherwell 24 11 10 3 +20 +9.3 43
5 Hibernian 23 9 8 6 +10 -0.4 35
6 Falkirk 23 9 6 8 -2 +2.7 33
7 Aberdeen 24 8 4 12 -7 -9.2 28
8 Dundee United 23 5 10 8 -9 -11.2 25
9 Dundee 24 6 5 13 -18 -7.2 23
10 St Mirren 23 4 8 11 -14 +1.9 20
11 Kilmarnock 24 3 8 13 -20 -7.1 17
12 Livingston 24 1 8 15 -26 -7.6 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Rangers
K. Andrews 🔁
↦ M. Chaiwa
10′
Martin Boyle 🟨
34′
Joe Newell 🟨
35′
38′
🟨 Dujon Sterling
Half-time 0–0
Jack Iredale 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Nicolas Raskin
56′
🔁 M. Moore
↦ D. Gassama
R. Molotnikov 🔁
↦ J. Newell
66′
O. Elding 🔁
↦ M. Boyle
66′
69′
🔁 M. Diomande
↦ T. Chukwuani
69′
🔁 N. Bajrami
↦ A. Skov Olsen
N. Cadden 🔁
↦ G. Hanley
70′
D. Scarlett 🔁
↦ T. Youan
71′
86′
🔁 M. Aarons
↦ D. Sterling
86′
🔁 B. Miovski
↦ T. Aasgaard
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 R. Sallinger G
33 R. Bushiri D
4 G. Hanley D
15 J. Iredale D
27 K. Megwa M
11 J. Newell M
22 D. Barlaser M
21 J. Obita M
14 M. Chaiwa F
10 M. Boyle F
7 T. Youan F
Bench (9)
13 J. Smith
6 D. Levitt
19 N. Cadden
23 J. Hoilett
54 K. Andrews
30 J. MacIntyre
35 R. Molotnikov
44 D. Scarlett
47 O. Elding

Coach: David Gray

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
21 D. Sterling D
5 J. Souttar D
37 E. Fernandez D
30 J. Meghoma D
43 N. Raskin M
42 T. Chukwuani M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
11 T. Aasgaard M
23 D. Gassama M
9 Chermiti F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
24 N. Djiga
3 M. Aarons
2 J. Tavernier
10 M. Diomande
18 O. Antman
14 N. Bajrami
47 M. Moore
28 B. Miovski

Coach: Danny Rohl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,09
U ✓
3,44
B
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.