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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Angers
U T U T U
1–0
Full-time
Metz
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
32%
16%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
32%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,50 xG 0,45
67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Angers 11. · Metz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lens 20 15 1 4 +18 +12.0 46
2 Paris SG 19 14 3 2 +26 +18.6 45
3 Marseille 20 12 3 5 +24 +13.1 39
4 Lyon 20 12 3 5 +13 +9.7 39
5 Lille 20 10 2 8 +4 +5.0 32
6 Rennes 20 8 7 5 -1 -0.1 31
7 Strasbourg 19 9 3 7 +9 +6.5 30
8 Toulouse 19 8 5 6 +8 +1.6 29
9 Lorient 20 7 7 6 -4 +0.5 28
10 Monaco 20 8 3 9 -1 +4.9 27
11 Angers 19 6 5 8 -5 -13.9 23
12 Brest 19 6 4 9 -7 +0.7 22
13 Paris FC 20 5 6 9 -8 -7.0 21
14 Nice 19 6 3 10 -11 -10.8 21
15 Le Havre 20 4 8 8 -9 -5.7 20
16 Nantes 20 3 5 12 -17 -11.8 14
17 Auxerre 19 3 3 13 -15 -7.5 12
18 Metz 19 3 3 13 -24 -15.8 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Metz
9′
🟥 Jean-Philippe Gbamin
9′
ℹ️ Jean-Philippe Gbamin
VAR: Card upgrade
1–0 L. Mouton
C. Arcus
25′
27′
🟨 Fodé Ballo-Touré
Branco van den Boomen 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ H. Belkebla
59′
H. Djibirin 🔁
↦ J. Ekomie
59′
59′
🔁 M. Colin
↦ F. Ballo-Toure
59′
🔁 A. Toure
↦ G. Hein
59′
🔁 J. Deminguet
↦ B. Munongo
67′
🟨 Terry Yegbe
M. Courcoul 🔁
↦ B. van den Boomen
69′
G. Koyalipou 🔁
↦ P. Peter
69′
69′
🔁 G. Abuashvili
↦ B. Traore
Louis Mouton 🟨
80′
L. Raolisoa 🔁
↦ A. Sbai
81′
86′
🔁 N. Mbala
↦ K. Kouao
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
12 H. Koffi G
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
3 J. Ekomie D
93 H. Belkebla M
8 B. van den Boomen M
14 Y. Belkhdim M
6 L. Mouton M
7 A. Sbai M
35 P. Peter F
Bench (9)
40 O. Pona
26 F. Hanin
24 E. Biumla
25 A. Bamba
15 P. Capelle
5 M. Courcoul
27 L. Raolisoa
31 H. Djibirin
9 G. Koyalipou

Coach: Alexandre Dujeux

Metz

4-3-3
1 J. Fischer G
39 K. Kouao D
5 J. Gbamin D
15 T. Yegbe D
97 F. Ballo-Toure D
33 B. Munongo M
21 B. Stambouli M
8 B. Traore M
10 G. Hein F
30 H. Diallo F
7 G. Tsitaishvili F
Bench (9)
40 O. Ba
2 M. Colin
4 U. Mboula
12 A. Toure
20 J. Deminguet
18 N. Mbala
9 G. Abuashvili
11 M. Mbaye
23 I. Sane

Coach: Benoit Tavenot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,32
B
3,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.