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KNVB Beker

Referee: J Kooij

Feyenoord

T S S T T

2–3

Full-time

Heerenveen

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

21 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hsc 21	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Hoogeveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Sportlust '46	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	SC Genemuiden	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Dovo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	Excelsior Maassluis	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
21	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
22	Roda	2	1	1	0	+4	4
23	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
26	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	FC OSS	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	AFC Amsterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	2
58	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
65	Katwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
66	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
67	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
103	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
108	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Sportlust '46	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
12	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Dovo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
37	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
39	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.