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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
Zwolle
U S T S U
0–1
Full-time
Willem II
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,56 xG 0,61
72% Possession 28%
19 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Willem II 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 0 1 +44 +23.4 42
2 Utrecht 15 11 2 2 +9 -1.6 35
3 Ajax 15 10 3 2 +16 +8.9 33
4 Feyenoord 15 9 5 1 +19 +15.9 32
5 Twente 15 8 4 3 +10 +11.8 28
6 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 2 5 +4 +6.5 23
7 NAC Breda 15 7 1 7 -6 -5.6 22
8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 3 6 +2 +10.6 21
9 For Sittard 15 5 4 6 -4 +0.4 19
10 Heerenveen 14 5 3 6 -4 -2.3 18
11 Nijmegen 15 5 1 9 +2 +3.2 16
12 Willem II 15 4 4 7 -2 -11.3 16
13 Zwolle 15 4 4 7 -9 -12.6 16
14 Groningen 15 4 4 7 -10 -10.8 16
15 Heracles 15 3 5 7 -12 -11.0 14
16 Sparta Rotterdam 15 2 5 8 -10 +0.8 11
17 Waalwijk 15 1 3 11 -22 -15.6 6
18 Almere City 15 1 3 11 -27 -10.8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Willem II
11′
R. Meerveld 0–1
P. Joosten
E. Reijnders 🔁
↦ O. Aertssen
32′
Half-time 0–1
D. van den Berg 🔁
↦ N. Fichtinger
46′
F. Krastev 🔁
↦ S. Graves
61′
63′
🟨 Tommy St. Jago
71′
🟨 Jeremy Bokila
K. de Rooij 🔁
↦ Jamiro Monteiro
72′
74′
🟨 Raffael Behounek
75′
🔁 B. Lambert
↦ P. Joosten
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar G
3 O. Aertssen D
28 S. Graves D
4 A. MacNulty D
33 D. van der Haar D
34 N. Fichtinger M
6 A. El Azzouzi M
11 D. Mbayo M
35 Jamiro Monteiro M
18 O. Velanas M
9 D. Vente F
Bench (10)
23 E. Reijnders
10 D. van den Berg
50 F. Krastev
22 K. de Rooij
37 M. Oukhattou
25 K. Vermeer
5 T. Lutonda
29 T. Buitink
38 T. Gijselhart
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. Jansen

Willem II

3-1-4-2
1 T. Didillon-Hödl G
33 T. St. Jago D
30 R. Behounek D
4 E. Schouten D
34 A. Lachkar M
7 N. Doodeman M
8 J. Bosch M
17 P. Joosten M
5 R. Sigurgeirsson M
18 J. Bokila F
16 R. Meerveld F
Bench (9)
6 B. Lambert
41 M. Schut
11 E. Kehrer
48 J. Mathijsen
24 C. van den Berg
15 M. Pivaš
35 K. Razak
50 P. van Loon
51 U. van Aalst

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U
3,31
B ✓
4,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.