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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
1–1
Full-time
Twente
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,2
This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 60%
56%
63%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
59%
56%
Both score Ø 36%
41%
31%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 6. · Twente 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 34 25 7 2 +51 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 23 6 5 +49 75
3 Ajax 34 20 9 5 +48 69
4 Twente 32 20 7 5 +45 67
5 AZ Alkmaar 34 20 7 7 +33 67
6 Sparta Rotterdam 32 18 6 8 +28 60
7 Utrecht 34 14 9 11 +0 51
8 Heerenveen 34 11 9 14 -12 42
9 Waalwijk 34 11 8 15 -14 41
10 Vitesse 34 10 10 14 -5 40
11 Go Ahead Eagles 34 10 10 14 -10 40
12 Nijmegen 34 8 15 11 -3 39
13 For Sittard 34 10 6 18 -23 36
14 Volendam 34 10 6 18 -29 36
15 FC Emmen 37 8 10 19 -31 34
16 Excelsior 34 9 5 20 -39 32
17 Cambuur 34 5 4 25 -43 19
18 Groningen 34 4 6 24 -44 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Twente
25′
🟨 Julio Pleguezuelo
27′
🟨 Joshua Brenet
Mike Eerdhuijzen 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 V. van Crooij
47′
53′
🟨 Robin Pröpper
53′
🟨 Michal Sadílek
63′
🔁 S. Steijn
↦ M. Vlap
63′
🔁 R. van Wolfswinkel
↦ M. Ugalde
J. de Guzmán 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
69′
78′
🔁 A. Sampsted
↦ J. Brenet
D. Abels 🔁
↦ V. van Crooij
85′
A. Auassar 🔁
↦ K. Saito
92′
92′
R. Zerrouki 1–1
M. Sadílek
Arno Verschueren 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Virgil Misidjan
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 N. Olij G
2 S. Sambo D
3 B. Vriends D
4 M. Eerdhuijzen D
5 A. Meijers D
6 J. Kitolano M
10 A. Verschueren M
8 Y. Namli M
7 V. van Crooij F
9 T. Lauritsen F
11 K. Saito F
Bench (12)
17 J. de Guzmán
12 D. Abels
14 A. Auassar
15 M. Pinto
21 P. Brouwer
22 E. Melkersen
19 M. Tahiri
18 Pedro Alemañ
16 J. van Mullem
13 R. Meissen
30 D. van Crooij
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt

Coach: M. Steijn

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
23 M. Sadílek M
7 V. Černý M
18 M. Vlap M
10 V. Misidjan M
27 M. Ugalde F
Bench (10)
14 S. Steijn
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
12 A. Sampsted
2 M. Hilgers
22 P. Tytoń
16 I. El Maach
11 D. Rots
6 W. Brama
26 D. Cleonise
21 M. Kjølø

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U ✓
3,42
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.