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Conference League
Referee: R Schröder
Twente
S U S S U
2–0
Full-time
Riga
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Riga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%
25 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.