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Conference League
Referee: I Kružliak
AZ Alkmaar
S S U T S
0–1
Full-time
West Ham
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 17/13 matches
Win Ø 84%
76%
92%
Points per game
2,3
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
65%
69%
Both score Ø 51%
47%
54%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,48 xG 0,77
70% Possession 30%
12 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. May -23 West Ham – AZ Alkmaar 2–1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar West Ham
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Tomáš Souček
64′
🟨 Thilo Kehrer
D. de Wit 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
70′
75′
🔁 Pablo Fornals
↦ S. Benrahma
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
78′
M. de Wit 🔁
↦ M. Kerkez
85′
M. Meerdink 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
85′
85′
🔁 D. Ings
↦ M. Antonio
94′
⚽ Pablo Fornals 0–1
95′
🔁 F. Downes
↦ Lucas Paquetá
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
31 S. Beukema D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 M. Kerkez D
16 S. Mijnans M
8 J. Clasie M
6 T. Reijnders M
19 M. van Brederode F
9 V. Pavlidis F
11 J. Karlsson F
Bench (11)
10 D. de Wit
23 M. Lahdo
34 M. de Wit
35 M. Meerdink
14 D. Mihailovic
54 D. Deen
46 W. Goes
27 Z. Vanheusden
25 R. Bazoer
28 Z. Buurmeester
12 H. Verhulst

Coach: P. Jansen

West Ham

4-3-3
13 A. Aréola G
24 T. Kehrer D
4 K. Zouma D
27 N. Aguerd D
3 A. Cresswell D
28 T. Souček M
41 D. Rice M
11 Lucas Paquetá M
20 J. Bowen F
9 M. Antonio F
22 S. Benrahma F
Bench (12)
8 Pablo Fornals
18 D. Ings
12 F. Downes
21 A. Ogbonna
33 Emerson
14 M. Cornet
2 B. Johnson
72 D. Mubama
5 V. Coufal
1 Ł. Fabiański
49 J. Anang
10 M. Lanzini

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.