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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
PSV Eindhoven
U S S S S
5–2
Full-time
Cambuur
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
63%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
67%
54%
Both score Ø 42%
54%
29%
Average goals
3,7
2,4
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
25 Shots 12
16 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 11
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 4. · Cambuur 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 25 16 7 2 +45 55
2 Feyenoord 24 16 7 1 +32 55
3 AZ Alkmaar 25 16 5 4 +23 53
4 PSV Eindhoven 24 15 4 5 +33 49
5 Twente 22 12 6 4 +22 42
6 Sparta Rotterdam 22 12 6 4 +17 42
7 Waalwijk 24 8 8 8 +2 32
8 Utrecht 23 8 8 7 -3 32
9 Nijmegen 25 6 13 6 +7 31
10 For Sittard 25 8 5 12 -13 29
11 Heerenveen 23 7 6 10 -8 27
12 Go Ahead Eagles 24 6 8 10 -9 26
13 Vitesse 25 5 8 12 -16 23
14 Volendam 24 6 5 13 -25 23
15 FC Emmen 25 4 9 12 -20 21
16 Excelsior 25 6 2 17 -39 20
17 Groningen 25 4 5 16 -25 17
18 Cambuur 24 4 4 16 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Cambuur
22′
R. Balk 0–1
1–1 X. Simons
J. Veerman
25′
37′
🟨 Doke Schmidt
Jarrad Branthwaite ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
41′
Half-time 1–1
A. El Ghazi 🔁
↦ J. Bakayoko
46′
2–1 P. van Aanholt
J. Veerman
54′
3–1 A. El Ghazi
J. Veerman
56′
61′
I. Sangaré 4–1
own goal
62′
🔁 M. Hoedemakers
↦ M. Paulissen
62′
🔁 S. van Wermeskerken
↦ D. Schmidt
62′
🔁 S. van der Water
↦ R. Balk
5–1 Fábio Silva
65′
75′
🔁 J. Jacobs
↦ M. Mahi
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ G. Til
79′
80′
🔁 R. Maulun
↦ S. van der Water
O. Boscagli 🔁
↦ P. van Aanholt
83′
Fábio Silva 🟨
85′
6–1 A. El Ghazi
X. Simons
88′
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ Fábio Silva
89′
R. Ledezma 🔁
↦ X. Simons
89′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
22 J. Branthwaite D
30 P. van Aanholt D
6 I. Sangaré M
23 J. Veerman M
27 J. Bakayoko M
20 G. Til M
7 X. Simons M
10 Fábio Silva F
Bench (9)
21 A. El Ghazi
15 É. Gutiérrez
18 O. Boscagli
28 I. Saibari
37 R. Ledezma
4 A. Obispo
24 B. Waterman
61 N. Schiks
3 J. Teze

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Cambuur

4-3-3
12 R. Ruiter G
5 D. Schmidt D
4 L. Bergsma D
33 F. Smand D
16 A. Bangura D
21 D. van Kaam M
10 M. Paulissen M
19 N. Foor M
30 R. Balk F
9 B. Johnsen F
25 M. Mahi F
Bench (12)
6 M. Hoedemakers
24 S. van Wermeskerken
11 S. van der Water
8 J. Jacobs
20 R. Maulun
3 C. Mac-Intosch
38 V. Pichel
31 B. Minnema
18 D. Sambissa
1 João Virgínia
27 S. Sylla
28 R. Uldriķis

Coach: S. Ultee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
U
8,49
B
17,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,36
U2,5
3,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.