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Primeira Liga

Referee: Miguel Nogueira

Rio Ave

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Gil Vicente

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

30%

35%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

30%

48%

Both score Ø 46%

35%

57%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

14 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 11

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 12. · Gil Vicente 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	23	20	2	1	+45	62
2	Porto	24	18	3	3	+38	57
3	Sp Braga	24	18	1	5	+32	55
4	Sp Lisbon	23	15	2	6	+23	47
5	Guimaraes	24	12	4	8	+0	40
6	Arouca	24	10	7	7	-3	37
7	Casa Pia	23	10	5	8	-3	35
8	Boavista	23	8	6	9	-8	30
9	Vizela	24	8	5	11	-1	29
10	Gil Vicente	23	8	5	10	-4	29
11	Chaves	24	7	8	9	-7	29
12	Rio Ave	23	7	6	10	-6	27
13	Famalicao	23	8	3	12	-9	27
14	Portimonense	24	8	2	14	-13	26
15	Estoril	24	6	4	14	-16	22
16	Maritimo	23	4	4	15	-25	16
17	Santa Clara	24	3	6	15	-19	15
18	Pacos Ferreira	24	4	3	17	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	11	1	0	+28	34
2	Porto	12	10	0	2	+26	30
3	Sp Lisbon	11	9	0	2	+22	27
4	Guimaraes	13	8	2	3	+4	26
5	Sp Braga	11	8	1	2	+17	25
6	Arouca	12	7	1	4	+3	22
7	Boavista	12	5	5	2	+0	20
8	Rio Ave	11	6	1	4	+4	19
9	Famalicao	11	6	1	4	+3	19
10	Casa Pia	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	Portimonense	12	5	2	5	-1	17
12	Gil Vicente	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Chaves	12	3	5	4	-1	14
14	Vizela	12	4	2	6	-1	14
15	Maritimo	11	3	2	6	-3	11
16	Estoril	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	Santa Clara	12	2	4	6	-10	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	2	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	13	10	0	3	+15	30
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+17	28
3	Porto	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	Sp Lisbon	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Casa Pia	11	5	2	4	-4	17
6	Vizela	12	4	3	5	+0	15
7	Chaves	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	Arouca	12	3	6	3	-6	15
9	Guimaraes	11	4	2	5	-4	14
10	Gil Vicente	11	4	1	6	-4	13
11	Estoril	13	3	2	8	-7	11
12	Boavista	11	3	1	7	-8	10
13	Portimonense	12	3	0	9	-12	9
14	Rio Ave	12	1	5	6	-10	8
15	Famalicao	12	2	2	8	-12	8
16	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	1	8	-10	7
17	Santa Clara	12	1	2	9	-9	5
18	Maritimo	12	1	2	9	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.