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Svenska Cupen
Referee: J Östling
Kalmar
T S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Mjallby
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
This season — Svenska Cupen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kalmar 5. · Mjallby 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Hammarby 4 4 0 0 +15 12
3 Malmo FF 4 4 0 0 +13 12
4 Djurgarden 4 4 0 0 +10 12
5 Kalmar 4 4 0 0 +9 12
6 Mjallby 4 4 0 0 +5 12
7 GAIS 5 4 0 1 +5 12
8 AIK 4 3 1 0 +8 10
9 Norrkoping 5 3 1 1 +4 10
10 Sirius 4 3 0 1 +8 9
11 IK brage 4 3 0 1 +6 9
12 Halmstad 4 3 0 1 +5 9
13 Trelleborg 4 3 0 1 +4 9
14 Degerfors 4 3 0 1 +4 9
15 Orebro SK 4 3 0 1 +3 9
16 Trollhättan 5 3 0 2 -2 9
17 Vasteras SK 4 2 2 0 +4 8
18 Helsingborg 4 2 0 2 +6 6
19 Dalkurd FF 4 2 0 2 +1 6
20 Skövde AIK 4 2 0 2 +1 6
21 Varberg 4 2 0 2 +0 6
22 Goteborg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
23 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 -3 6
24 IFK Luleå 5 2 0 3 -3 6
25 Oskarshamns AIK 5 2 0 3 -4 6
26 Onsala 5 2 0 3 -6 6
27 Utsikten 4 1 1 2 -2 4
28 Ostersunds FK 4 1 1 2 -3 4
29 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -7 4
30 Norrby IF 4 1 1 2 -7 4
31 Västra Frölunda 2 1 0 1 +5 3
32 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +3 3
34 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Österlen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Vasalund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Lund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Gauthiod 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Brommapojkarna 4 1 0 3 -1 3
45 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Ljungskile SK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Torns 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Enköping 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Brålanda 2 1 0 1 -5 3
55 Jonkopings Sodra 4 1 0 3 -5 3
56 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Haninge 2 0 1 1 -2 1
60 Täby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Sleipner 2 0 1 1 -2 1
62 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Oster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Elfsborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Orgryte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalmar Mjallby
7′
🟨 H. Johansson
Half-time 0–0
N. Shamoun 🔁
↦ A. Lindahl
64′
Romário 🔁
↦ N. Girmai Netabay
64′
68′
🔁 N. Eile
↦ H. Johansson
74′
🟨 J. Gustavsson
S. Skrabb 🟨
81′
86′
🟨 A. Stahl
97′
🔁 E. Stroud
↦ N. Persson
97′
🔁 Y. Abdulazeez Taiye
↦ M. Moro
K. Jensen 🔁
↦ S. Skrabb
105′
R. Gojani 🟨
110′
114′
🔁 A. Brorsson
↦ V. Gustafson
1–0 M. Rajovic
121′
122′
C. Rösler 1–1
2–1 L. Sætra
123′
124′
T. Pettersson
penalty missed
3–1 C. Gustafsson
125′
126′
A. Ståhl 3–2
4–2 R. Gojani
127′
128′
O. Rosengren 4–3
Romário
penalty missed
129′
130′
N. Eile 4–4
N. Shamoun
penalty missed
131′
132′
I. Kričak 4–5
Full-time 4–5

Line-ups

Kalmar

1 Ricardo Friedrich
39 L. Sætra
6 R. Sjöstedt
3 D. Ólafsson
2 A. Lindahl
23 R. Gojani
22 N. Girmai Netabay
17 C. Gustafsson
4 J. Karlsson
11 S. Skrabb
9 M. Rajovic
Bench (7)
14 N. Shamoun
29 Romário
7 K. Jensen
30 J. Kindberg
19 S. Ylätupa
18 I. Bjerkebo
28 E. Olsson

Coach: H. Jensen

Mjallby

1 N. Törnqvist
24 T. Pettersson
11 A. Ståhl
15 I. Kričak
5 C. Rösler
14 H. Johansson
7 V. Gustafson
22 J. Gustavsson
8 O. Rosengren
10 M. Moro
26 N. Persson
Bench (7)
29 N. Eile
17 E. Stroud
18 Y. Abdulazeez Taiye
3 A. Brorsson
19 L. Carlius
35 A. Lundin
6 I. Jagne

Coach: A. Torstensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.