Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | +46 | +5.9 | 52 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | +19 | +6.1 | 50 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +20 | +6.5 | 45 |
| 4 |
Freiburg
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +4 | -2.4 | 45 |
| 5 |
Union Berlin
|
23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | +8 | +0.4 | 44 |
| 6 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +12 | -3.4 | 40 |
| 7 |
Mainz
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | +0.3 | 36 |
| 8 |
Wolfsburg
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | +11 | +3.8 | 34 |
| 9 |
Leverkusen
|
24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +4 | +5.8 | 34 |
| 10 |
M'gladbach
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | -3.2 | 30 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -9 | -3.3 | 30 |
| 12 |
FC Koln
|
24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | -6 | +0.6 | 27 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -13 | -2.0 | 27 |
| 14 |
Bochum
|
24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | -30 | -3.2 | 22 |
| 15 |
Hertha
|
24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -16 | -4.5 | 21 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -12 | -1.0 | 20 |
| 17 |
Schalke 04
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -24 | -1.6 | 20 |
| 18 |
Hoffenheim
|
24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -14 | -4.9 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Fischer
D
S. Bornauw
D
M. van de Ven
D
F. Nmecha
M
Y. Gerhardt
M
M. Svanberg
F
J. Wind
F
Omar Marmoush
F
Coach: N. Kovač
F. Rønnow
G
D. Doekhi
D
Diogo Leite
D
J. Juranović
M
M. Thorsby
M
R. Khedira
M
S. Becker
F
Coach: U. Fischer
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wolfsburg
Ein Frankfurt
FC Koln
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
Schalke 04
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.