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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Cambuur
T S T T U
1–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
30%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
48%
45%
Both score Ø 30%
19%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 18. · Heerenveen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 22 14 7 1 +29 49
2 AZ Alkmaar 22 13 5 4 +20 44
3 Ajax 21 12 7 2 +37 43
4 PSV Eindhoven 21 13 3 5 +30 42
5 Twente 19 11 6 2 +23 39
6 Sparta Rotterdam 19 10 6 3 +16 36
7 Utrecht 20 8 6 6 -2 30
8 Waalwijk 22 7 8 7 +0 29
9 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -9 26
10 Nijmegen 21 4 12 5 +2 24
11 Heerenveen 20 6 6 8 -4 24
12 Vitesse 22 5 8 9 -12 23
13 Go Ahead Eagles 21 5 7 9 -8 22
14 Volendam 22 5 5 12 -24 20
15 Excelsior 21 6 2 13 -28 20
16 FC Emmen 22 3 8 11 -20 17
17 Groningen 22 3 5 14 -26 14
18 Cambuur 21 3 4 14 -24 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur Heerenveen
1–0 B. Johnsen
M. Breij
1′
22′
O. Sahraoui 1–1
Mitchell Paulissen 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
M. Mahi 🔁
↦ M. Hoedemakers
62′
65′
M. van Ewijk 1–2
67′
🔁 A. Timossi Andersson
↦ C. Nunnely
67′
🔁 P. van Amersfoort
↦ R. Al Hajj
R. Maulun 🔁
↦ N. Foor
75′
S. van der Water 🔁
↦ L. Bergsma
76′
R. Uldriķis 🔁
↦ M. Paulissen
76′
78′
🔁 D. Karlsbakk
↦ O. Sahraoui
79′
🔁 A. Colassin
↦ S. van Hooijdonk
Silvester van der Water 🟨
81′
Mimoun Mahi 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cambuur

4-3-3
12 R. Ruiter G
5 D. Schmidt D
4 L. Bergsma D
33 F. Smand D
16 A. Bangura D
21 D. van Kaam M
10 M. Paulissen M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
14 M. Breij F
9 B. Johnsen F
19 N. Foor F
Bench (12)
25 M. Mahi
20 R. Maulun
11 S. van der Water
28 R. Uldriķis
27 S. Sylla
3 C. Mac-Intosch
17 B. Rienstra
24 S. van Wermeskerken
30 R. Balk
31 B. Minnema
38 V. Pichel
1 João Virgínia

Coach: S. Ultee

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
1 X. Mous G
27 M. van Ewijk D
25 J. Bruma D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
7 M. Köhlert D
33 T. Haye M
19 S. Olsson M
24 C. Nunnely M
22 R. Al Hajj M
20 O. Sahraoui M
17 S. van Hooijdonk F
Bench (12)
8 A. Timossi Andersson
11 P. van Amersfoort
9 D. Karlsbakk
29 A. Colassin
10 T. Halilović
3 J. van Aken
13 R. Kaib
26 A. Tahiri
16 B. Klaverboer
15 H. Ali
23 J. Bekkema
6 S. van Ottele

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U
3,35
B ✓
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.