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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

Sturm Graz

U S S T S

3–1

Full-time

Austria Vienna

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Austria Vienna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 53%

60%

45%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

45%

80%

Both score Ø 58%

55%

60%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 6

13 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Austria Vienna 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	20	16	3	1	+34	51
2	Sturm Graz	20	12	6	2	+18	42
3	LASK	20	10	7	3	+12	37
4	Austria Vienna	20	9	5	6	+6	32
5	SK Rapid	20	9	3	8	+8	30
6	Tirol	20	8	4	8	-1	28
7	A. Klagenfurt	20	8	3	9	-4	27
8	A. Lustenau	20	5	6	9	-11	21
9	Wolfsberger AC	20	6	2	12	-5	20
10	Hartberg	20	5	2	13	-19	17
11	Altach	20	4	4	12	-21	16
12	Ried	20	3	5	12	-17	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	7	3	0	+15	24
2	Sturm Graz	10	7	1	2	+9	22
3	LASK	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Austria Vienna	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	A. Lustenau	10	4	3	3	-2	15
6	SK Rapid	10	4	1	5	+2	13
7	Tirol	10	3	3	4	-6	12
8	A. Klagenfurt	10	3	1	6	-5	10
9	Hartberg	10	3	1	6	-8	10
10	Altach	10	2	3	5	-5	9
11	Ried	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Wolfsberger AC	10	1	1	8	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	9	0	1	+19	27
2	Sturm Graz	10	5	5	0	+9	20
3	LASK	10	5	4	1	+8	19
4	SK Rapid	10	5	2	3	+6	17
5	A. Klagenfurt	10	5	2	3	+1	17
6	Tirol	10	5	1	4	+5	16
7	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	1	4	+4	16
8	Austria Vienna	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Hartberg	10	2	1	7	-11	7
10	Altach	10	2	1	7	-16	7
11	A. Lustenau	10	1	3	6	-9	6
12	Ried	10	1	2	7	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.