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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

Groningen

S T U S U

4–3

Full-time

Nijmegen

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

28%

32%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

36%

48%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

56%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 10

3 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Groningen 10. · Nijmegen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	26	20	3	3	+66	63
2	PSV Eindhoven	25	19	1	5	+31	58
3	Feyenoord	25	16	4	5	+34	52
4	Twente	25	14	6	5	+9	48
5	AZ Alkmaar	23	15	2	6	+19	47
6	Utrecht	23	11	6	6	+12	39
7	Vitesse	21	11	2	8	-7	35
8	Cambuur	26	10	3	13	-12	33
9	Nijmegen	25	8	7	10	-9	31
10	Groningen	25	7	9	9	-5	30
11	Go Ahead Eagles	26	7	6	13	-16	27
12	Heracles	25	7	5	13	-8	26
13	Heerenveen	24	7	5	12	-12	26
14	Waalwijk	25	5	8	12	-14	23
15	Willem II	25	6	4	15	-22	22
16	Sparta Rotterdam	24	4	8	12	-18	20
17	Zwolle	25	5	5	15	-20	20
18	For Sittard	24	5	4	15	-28	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	1	2	+44	31
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	0	3	+17	30
3	Feyenoord	13	9	2	2	+20	29
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	9	2	1	+16	29
5	Twente	12	7	4	1	+10	25
6	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
7	Heracles	13	7	3	3	+6	24
8	Cambuur	13	5	1	7	-4	16
9	Go Ahead Eagles	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Groningen	12	3	6	3	+1	15
11	Sparta Rotterdam	14	3	5	6	-7	14
12	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-8	14
13	Vitesse	10	4	1	5	-8	13
14	Waalwijk	12	4	1	7	-10	13
15	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-7	11
16	For Sittard	11	3	2	6	-11	11
17	Zwolle	12	2	4	6	-5	10
18	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+22	32
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	1	2	+14	28
3	Feyenoord	12	7	2	3	+14	23
4	Twente	13	7	2	4	-1	23
5	Vitesse	11	7	1	3	+1	22
6	Nijmegen	13	6	3	4	-3	21
7	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	0	5	+3	18
8	Cambuur	13	5	2	6	-8	17
9	Utrecht	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Heerenveen	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Groningen	13	4	3	6	-6	15
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	2	5	6	-12	11
13	Waalwijk	13	1	7	5	-4	10
14	Zwolle	13	3	1	9	-15	10
15	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-14	8
16	For Sittard	13	2	2	9	-17	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	12	0	2	10	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.