Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Piast Gliwice
Lechia Gdansk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 49 |
| 2 |
Lech Poznan
|
24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +30 | 48 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +20 | 48 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 40 |
| 5 |
Radomiak Radom
|
24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 39 |
| 6 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +3 | 36 |
| 7 |
Wisla Plock
|
24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 |
Stal Mielec
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Piast Gliwice
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 31 |
| 10 |
Cracovia
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 |
Jagiellonia
|
24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 |
Legia
|
24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 |
Zaglebie
|
25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 28 |
| 14 |
Warta Poznan
|
25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -7 | 27 |
| 15 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 | Leczna | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 |
Wisla
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 23 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Zaglebie
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Gornik Zabrze
Slask Wroclaw
Piast Gliwice
Wisla Plock
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Pogon Szczecin
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.