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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

T U U T T

1–1

Full-time

St Pauli

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 42%

28%

56%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

52%

80%

Both score Ø 52%

40%

64%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

13 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 8

10 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dresden 16. · St Pauli 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	26	14	6	6	+20	48
2	Werder Bremen	25	14	6	5	+15	48
3	St Pauli	25	14	5	6	+15	47
4	Nurnberg	25	12	6	7	+3	42
5	Hamburg	25	10	11	4	+19	41
6	Schalke 04	25	12	5	8	+17	41
7	Heidenheim	25	11	6	8	-1	39
8	Paderborn	25	9	9	7	+9	36
9	Karlsruhe	25	8	9	8	+3	33
10	Regensburg	25	9	5	11	+4	32
11	Hansa Rostock	26	8	7	11	-9	31
12	Holstein Kiel	26	8	7	11	-10	31
13	Hannover	25	8	7	10	-11	31
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	25	8	6	11	-1	30
15	Sandhausen	26	7	9	10	-13	30
16	Dresden	25	7	5	13	-10	26
17	Erzgebirge Aue	25	4	7	14	-24	19
18	Ingolstadt	25	3	6	16	-26	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	9	2	1	+18	29
2	Heidenheim	12	7	4	1	+8	25
3	Hamburg	13	6	6	1	+12	24
4	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+11	24
5	Schalke 04	13	7	2	4	+11	23
6	Nurnberg	13	7	2	4	+4	23
7	Werder Bremen	12	6	4	2	+10	22
8	Karlsruhe	13	5	5	3	+6	20
9	Regensburg	13	5	3	5	+5	18
10	Dresden	12	5	2	5	+2	17
11	Holstein Kiel	13	5	2	6	-5	17
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	+3	16
13	Hannover	12	4	4	4	-3	16
14	Hansa Rostock	13	3	3	7	-8	12
15	Paderborn	13	2	5	6	-3	11
16	Erzgebirge Aue	13	3	2	8	-12	11
17	Sandhausen	12	2	4	6	-11	10
18	Ingolstadt	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	13	8	2	3	+5	26
2	Paderborn	12	7	4	1	+12	25
3	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+9	24
4	Sandhausen	14	5	5	4	-2	20
5	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	-1	19
6	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	-1	19
7	Schalke 04	12	5	3	4	+6	18
8	St Pauli	13	5	3	5	-3	18
9	Hamburg	12	4	5	3	+7	17
10	Hannover	13	4	3	6	-8	15
11	Regensburg	12	4	2	6	-1	14
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	2	6	-4	14
13	Holstein Kiel	13	3	5	5	-5	14
14	Heidenheim	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Karlsruhe	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Dresden	13	2	3	8	-12	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-12	8
18	Ingolstadt	13	2	2	9	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.