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Ligue 2

Caen

U S T S T

4–1

Full-time

Toulouse

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

30%

59%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

41%

56%

Both score Ø 48%

44%

52%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

14 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 1

12 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 14. · Toulouse 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	27	16	9	2	+39	57
2	Paris FC	27	15	7	5	+17	52
3	Auxerre	28	14	9	5	+14	51
4	Ajaccio	28	15	6	7	+10	51
5	Sochaux	28	13	8	7	+5	47
6	Le Havre	27	10	11	6	+3	41
7	Pau FC	27	11	5	11	-1	38
8	Nimes	27	10	6	11	-3	36
9	Niort	27	10	5	12	+0	35
10	Guingamp	27	8	10	9	-6	34
11	Amiens	27	7	12	8	+9	33
12	Bastia	28	7	12	9	+1	33
13	Dijon	27	10	3	14	-5	33
14	Caen	27	8	8	11	+3	32
15	Valenciennes	27	7	10	10	-9	31
16	Rodez	27	7	9	11	-8	30
17	Quevilly Rouen	27	7	8	12	-14	29
18	Grenoble	27	8	4	15	-15	28
19	Dunkerque	27	7	6	14	-13	27
20	Nancy	27	4	8	15	-27	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	14	9	4	1	+26	31
2	Paris FC	13	8	4	1	+12	28
3	Pau FC	14	9	1	4	+9	28
4	Ajaccio	14	8	3	3	+8	27
5	Auxerre	14	7	4	3	+11	25
6	Sochaux	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Amiens	14	6	4	4	+12	22
8	Bastia	14	3	11	0	+7	20
9	Niort	13	6	2	5	+5	20
10	Guingamp	13	5	5	3	+2	20
11	Le Havre	14	5	5	4	+1	20
12	Dijon	14	6	2	6	+0	20
13	Caen	14	6	1	7	+6	19
14	Nimes	14	5	4	5	+0	19
15	Grenoble	13	6	1	6	-1	19
16	Dunkerque	14	4	5	5	-2	17
17	Rodez	13	3	6	4	-2	15
18	Quevilly Rouen	13	3	6	4	-4	15
19	Valenciennes	13	4	2	7	-7	14
20	Nancy	13	3	4	6	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	7	5	1	+13	26
2	Auxerre	14	7	5	2	+3	26
3	Paris FC	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Ajaccio	14	7	3	4	+2	24
5	Sochaux	14	6	4	4	+1	22
6	Le Havre	13	5	6	2	+2	21
7	Valenciennes	14	3	8	3	-2	17
8	Nimes	13	5	2	6	-3	17
9	Niort	14	4	3	7	-5	15
10	Rodez	14	4	3	7	-6	15
11	Guingamp	14	3	5	6	-8	14
12	Quevilly Rouen	14	4	2	8	-10	14
13	Caen	13	2	7	4	-3	13
14	Dijon	13	4	1	8	-5	13
15	Bastia	14	4	1	9	-6	13
16	Amiens	13	1	8	4	-3	11
17	Pau FC	13	2	4	7	-10	10
18	Dunkerque	13	3	1	9	-11	10
19	Grenoble	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Nancy	14	1	4	9	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.