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Süper Lig
Referee: E Özdamar
Altay
S U T S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altay Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 22%
25%
18%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
54%
39%
Both score Ø 47%
54%
39%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Altay 18. · Yeni Malatyaspor 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 28 20 7 1 +31 67
2 Konyaspor 28 15 7 6 +15 52
3 Buyuksehyr 28 14 5 9 +13 47
4 Fenerbahce 28 13 8 7 +11 47
5 Alanyaspor 28 13 7 8 +9 46
6 Hatayspor 29 14 4 11 +2 46
7 Ad. Demirspor 28 12 9 7 +14 45
8 Besiktas 28 12 9 7 +6 45
9 Karagumruk 29 11 7 11 -10 40
10 Kayserispor 28 10 8 10 -1 38
11 Gaziantep 28 10 7 11 -3 37
12 Galatasaray 28 9 8 11 -4 35
13 Antalyaspor 28 9 8 11 -6 35
14 Sivasspor 28 8 10 10 +0 34
15 Kasimpasa 28 8 8 12 -2 32
16 Giresunspor 28 9 5 14 -3 32
17 Goztep 28 7 6 15 -10 27
18 Altay 28 7 5 16 -12 26
19 Rizespor 28 6 5 17 -25 23
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 28 5 5 18 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Altay Yeni Malatyaspor
5′
🟨 Jospin Nshimirimana
18′
🟨 Okechukwu Azubuike
Leandro Kappel ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
40′
40′
🟨 Karim Hafez
Marco Paixão ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
43′
1–0 Marco Paixão
44′
45′
🔁 G. Donsah
↦ J. Nshimirimana
Half-time 1–0
César Pinares 🟨
51′
54′
🔁 B. Tetteh
↦ K. Özer
54′
🔁 B. Başdaş
↦ G. Campi
Murat Akça 🟨
55′
61′
🟨 Barış Başdaş
64′
ℹ️ Benjamin Tetteh
VAR: Goal cancelled
Ahmed Yasser Rayan 🔁
↦ C. Pinares
76′
Z. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ Marco Paixão
77′
D. Bamba 🔁
↦ L. Kappel
80′
Ahmed Yasser Rayan 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 M. Altıntaş
↦ B. Başdaş
C. Gülselam 🔁
↦ M. Rodríguez
92′
Ceyhun Gülselam 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Altay

4-1-4-1
1 M. Lis G
38 İ. Öztürk D
28 M. Akça D
90 C. Karayel D
21 C. Pinares M
10 M. Rodríguez M
17 A. Biyogo Poko M
16 Thaciano M
19 Marco Paixão F
7 L. Kappel M
20 K. Karataş D
Bench (10)
9 Ahmed Yasser Rayan
8 Z. Yıldırım
11 D. Bamba
6 C. Gülselam
35 C. Topaloğlu
25 T. Gündem
30 E. Erdoğan
14 T. Ünlü
88 Ö. Özkaya
32 E. Sarıkaya

Coach: S. Özbalta

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
5 O. Haddadi D
18 M. Zeffane D
4 G. Campi D
45 Karim Hafez D
24 A. Okechukwu M
7 M. Eskihellaç M
66 J. Nshimirimana M
9 K. Özer M
94 N. Dicko F
44 M. Chouiar M
Bench (9)
34 G. Donsah
30 B. Tetteh
28 B. Başdaş
77 M. Altıntaş
80 M. Sarıkaya
54 A. Müjde
1 M. Akşit
3 P. Awuku
99 A. Türkaslan

Coach: C. Arslan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,49
B
3,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Özdamar · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.