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LaLiga2

Almeria

S S S S T

3–3

Full-time

Lugo

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 44%

60%

27%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

43%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

47%

70%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

22 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 3

5 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 2. · Lugo 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	30	17	8	5	+12	59
2	Almeria	30	18	4	8	+22	58
3	Valladolid	30	17	7	6	+20	58
4	Tenerife	30	15	7	8	+16	52
5	Ponferradina	30	13	10	7	+7	49
6	Girona	30	13	7	10	+8	46
7	Ibiza	31	10	13	8	+4	43
8	Cartagena	31	13	4	14	-1	43
9	Zaragoza	31	9	15	7	-2	42
10	Burgos	30	12	5	13	+4	41
11	Oviedo	30	9	14	7	+3	41
12	Las Palmas	30	10	11	9	+1	41
13	Leganes	31	10	11	10	+1	41
14	Lugo	30	8	16	6	+3	40
15	Huesca	30	9	11	10	+6	38
16	Mirandes	31	10	6	15	-10	36
17	Malaga	30	9	9	12	-17	36
18	Sp Gijon	30	9	8	13	-4	35
19	Sociedad B	30	7	8	15	-10	29
20	Amorebieta	30	4	14	12	-14	26
21	Fuenlabrada	31	4	14	13	-15	26
22	Alcorcon	30	2	8	20	-34	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valladolid	15	11	3	1	+19	36
2	Almeria	15	11	2	2	+17	35
3	Eibar	14	10	3	1	+12	33
4	Girona	16	9	3	4	+12	30
5	Cartagena	15	9	1	5	+10	28
6	Burgos	14	8	3	3	+15	27
7	Tenerife	15	8	3	4	+11	27
8	Ponferradina	15	7	6	2	+10	27
9	Lugo	15	7	6	2	+5	27
10	Las Palmas	15	7	5	3	+7	26
11	Mirandes	16	8	2	6	+3	26
12	Oviedo	15	6	7	2	+8	25
13	Malaga	15	7	4	4	-1	25
14	Zaragoza	16	5	8	3	+2	23
15	Ibiza	16	5	7	4	+4	22
16	Leganes	15	5	7	3	+4	22
17	Huesca	16	5	6	5	+4	21
18	Sp Gijon	15	6	3	6	+0	21
19	Fuenlabrada	16	3	9	4	-1	18
20	Amorebieta	15	3	7	5	-2	16
21	Sociedad B	15	3	4	8	-6	13
22	Alcorcon	14	1	6	7	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	16	7	5	4	+0	26
2	Tenerife	15	7	4	4	+5	25
3	Almeria	15	7	2	6	+5	23
4	Valladolid	15	6	4	5	+1	22
5	Ponferradina	15	6	4	5	-3	22
6	Ibiza	15	5	6	4	+0	21
7	Leganes	16	5	4	7	-3	19
8	Zaragoza	15	4	7	4	-4	19
9	Huesca	14	4	5	5	+2	17
10	Sociedad B	15	4	4	7	-4	16
11	Girona	14	4	4	6	-4	16
12	Oviedo	15	3	7	5	-5	16
13	Las Palmas	15	3	6	6	-6	15
14	Cartagena	16	4	3	9	-11	15
15	Sp Gijon	15	3	5	7	-4	14
16	Burgos	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Lugo	15	1	10	4	-2	13
18	Malaga	15	2	5	8	-16	11
19	Amorebieta	15	1	7	7	-12	10
20	Mirandes	15	2	4	9	-13	10
21	Fuenlabrada	15	1	5	9	-14	8
22	Alcorcon	16	1	2	13	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.