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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
2–2
Full-time
Vitesse
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 35%
13%
57%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
64%
Both score Ø 51%
44%
57%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 17. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 1 3 +17 37
2 Ajax 16 11 3 2 +45 36
3 Feyenoord 16 11 3 2 +24 36
4 Utrecht 16 8 4 4 +11 28
5 Twente 16 8 4 4 +4 28
6 Cambuur 16 9 0 7 -6 27
7 Vitesse 14 8 1 5 -2 25
8 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 1 6 +6 22
9 Heerenveen 15 6 4 5 -1 22
10 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 3 7 -6 21
11 Groningen 16 4 7 5 -4 19
12 Nijmegen 16 5 4 7 -5 19
13 Willem II 16 5 3 8 -14 18
14 Waalwijk 16 3 6 7 -8 15
15 Heracles 16 4 2 10 -7 14
16 For Sittard 17 3 4 10 -22 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 16 2 5 9 -12 11
18 Zwolle 16 1 3 12 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Vitesse
16′
N. Frederiksen 0–1
M. Wittek
37′
N. Frederiksen 0–2
J. Rasmussen
Half-time 0–2
Mohammed Osman 🔁
↦ E. Emegha
46′
V. van Crooij 🔁
↦ B. Smeets
46′
M. Engels 🔁
↦ L. Thy
46′
53′
🔁 L. Openda
↦ N. Frederiksen
54′
🔁 T. Domgjoni
↦ D. Huisman
54′
🔁 M. Bero
↦ S. Tronstad
1–2 S. Mijnans
M. Pinto
70′
80′
🔁 T. Hájek
↦ M. Manhoef
88′
🔁 R. Yapi
↦ T. Buitink
2–2 S. Mijnans
M. Pinto
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

5-3-2
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 M. Pinto D
2 G. Masouras D
8 D. Abels M
6 A. Auassar D
10 B. Smeets M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
11 E. Emegha F
Bench (11)
16 Mohammed Osman
17 V. van Crooij
19 M. Engels
20 T. Coremans
14 M. Heylen
21 A. Madi
30 R. Janse
18 K. Goudmijn
15 A. Meijers
13 J. van Mullem
12 L. Jans

Coach: H. Fraser

Vitesse

3-5-2
24 J. Houwen G
32 M. Wittek M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
16 A. Oroz D
42 M. Manhoef M
8 S. Tronstad M
36 P. Vroegh M
40 D. Huisman M
29 T. Buitink F
11 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (12)
7 L. Openda
22 T. Domgjoni
21 M. Bero
18 T. Hájek
27 R. Yapi
20 Y. Gboho
39 E. Cornelisse
1 M. Schubert
54 G. de Regt
23 E. Verstappen
10 R. Bazoer
19 J. von Moos

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,25
U ✓
3,30
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.