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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
2–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Super League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 30%
17%
43%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
17%
43%
Both score Ø 23%
17%
29%
Average goals
1,2
2,6
Scored
0,3
1,9
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 13. · Panathinaikos 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 AEK 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 PAOK 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Volos NFC 6 4 1 1 +3 13
5 Aris Thessalonikis 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Aris 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Ionikos 8 3 2 3 -3 11
8 Panathinaikos 7 3 1 3 +8 10
9 Giannina 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 OFI Crete 7 1 5 1 -1 8
11 Apollon 8 1 3 4 -9 6
12 Panetolikos 6 1 2 3 -3 5
13 Asteras Tripolis 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 Lamia 7 1 1 5 -4 4
15 Atromitos 8 0 2 6 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos
25′
🟨 Juankar
30′
⚽ Carlitos López 0–1
S. Palacios
32′
🟨 Achilleas Poungouras
1–1 J. Barrales ⚽
33′
2–1 K. Soni ⚽
Sito
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ Mateus Vital
46′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ Juan Carlos
Francesc Regis 🟨
52′
Pepe Castaño 🟨
60′
Kévin Soni 🟨
69′
71′
🟨 Carlitos
Léo Tilica 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
73′
Adrián Riera 🔁
↦ K. Soni
74′
75′
🔁 I. Chatzitheodoridis
↦ F. Sánchez
77′
🟨 Giannis Kotsiras
M. Iglesias 🔁
↦ Dani Santafé
80′
Pichu Atienza 🔁
↦ Sito
87′
87′
🔁 I. Bouzoukis
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
Jose Luis Valiente Gimenez 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

3-5-2
99 A. Tsiftsis G
29 F. Álvarez D
12 David Carmona D
19 Pepe Castaño D
8 J. Munafo M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
14 Dani Santafé M
9 J. Barrales F
27 K. Soni F
11 Xesc Regis F
Bench (9)
7 Léo Tilica
23 Adrián Riera
17 M. Iglesias
18 Pichu Atienza
1 N. Papadopoulos
20 R. Gómez
21 S. Baba
2 Rubén García
3 C. Tasoulis

Coach: M. Rastavac

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
14 F. Sánchez D
3 Juan Carlos D
44 A. Poungouras D
31 Z. Šarlija D
17 Rubén Pérez M
98 Mateus Vital M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis M
6 S. Alexandropoulos M
34 S. Palacios F
10 Carlitos López F
Bench (9)
7 F. Ioannidis
27 G. Kotsiras
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
18 I. Bouzoukis
4 Fran Vélez
19 L. Villafáñez
1 S. Dioudis
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra
88 Maurício

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,74
U
3,18
B
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.