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Ligue 1

Referee: R Lissorgue

Nantes

S S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Clermont

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Clermont

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

40%

30%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

30%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nantes 9. · Clermont 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	0	1	+14	27
2	Lens	10	5	3	2	+5	18
3	Nice	9	5	2	2	+12	17
4	Marseille	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	Angers	11	4	5	2	+4	17
6	Lyon	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+6	15
8	Strasbourg	10	4	2	4	+3	14
9	Nantes	10	4	2	4	+3	14
10	Monaco	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Lille	10	4	2	4	-2	14
12	Lorient	10	3	5	2	-2	14
13	Montpellier	10	3	4	3	+1	13
14	Clermont	10	3	4	3	-7	13
15	Reims	10	2	5	3	-1	11
16	Troyes	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Bordeaux	10	1	5	4	-9	8
18	Metz	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Brest	10	0	5	5	-8	5
20	St Etienne	11	0	5	6	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Lyon	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+7	10
5	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	Strasbourg	6	3	1	2	+6	10
7	Angers	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+3	10
9	Nantes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
10	Lille	4	3	0	1	+0	9
11	Nice	4	2	2	0	+5	8
12	Lens	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	St Etienne	6	0	4	2	-4	4
18	Brest	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Bordeaux	5	0	3	2	-3	3
20	Metz	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Lens	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Nice	5	3	0	2	+7	9
4	Angers	6	1	4	1	+1	7
5	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Reims	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Nantes	5	1	2	2	+0	5
9	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Lille	6	1	2	3	-2	5
11	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	-6	5
12	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-8	5
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Lorient	6	0	4	2	-5	4
17	Metz	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.