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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
Rizespor
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Kasimpasa
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 6%
0%
11%
Points per game
0,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 12
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 20. · Kasimpasa 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 9 6 3 0 +10 21
2 Hatayspor 9 6 1 2 +11 19
3 Fenerbahce 9 6 1 2 +4 19
4 Besiktas 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Karagumruk 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +2 17
7 Alanyaspor 9 5 2 2 +0 17
8 Altay 10 5 0 5 +0 15
9 Konyaspor 9 3 5 1 +3 14
10 Ad. Demirspor 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Yeni Malatyaspor 10 4 0 6 -6 12
12 Kayserispor 9 3 2 4 -2 11
13 Gaziantep 9 3 2 4 -2 11
14 Sivasspor 9 2 4 3 +2 10
15 Buyuksehyr 9 3 0 6 -1 9
16 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 -4 9
17 Goztep 9 2 2 5 -4 8
18 Giresunspor 9 2 2 5 -4 8
19 Kasimpasa 9 1 3 5 -5 6
20 Rizespor 9 0 1 8 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Kasimpasa
1–0 C. Sertel
L. Phiri
11′
Bryan Dabo 🟨
18′
19′
🟨 Nicolai Jørgensen
32′
🟨 Michal Trávník
Half-time 1–0
A. Umar 🔁
↦ Rick Boldrin
46′
Y. Pehlivan 🔁
↦ D. Hümmet
46′
46′
🔁 H. Hajradinović
↦ T. Břečka
46′
🔁 E. Elmalı
↦ M. Ben Ouannes
58′
ℹ️ Umut Bozok
VAR: Penalty awarded
Aminu Umar 🟨
61′
62′
U. Bozok 1–1
67′
🟨 Tarkan Serbest
L. Rémy 🔁
↦ B. Dabo
73′
A. Potuk 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
73′
Yasin Pehlivan 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 D. Haspolat
↦ L. Sadiku
E. Sabo 🔁
↦ L. Phiri
87′
88′
🔁 Y. Erdoğan
↦ U. Bozok
91′
🔁 N. Dirar
↦ F. Hadërgjonaj
92′
🟨 Jeffrey Bruma
2–1 S. Ay 1
101′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
23 G. Akkan G
5 S. Ay D
3 S. Holmén D
88 C. Sertel D
10 Rick Boldrin M
14 B. Dabo M
21 L. Phiri M
27 Fabricio Baiano D
53 Y. Bolasie M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
19 D. Hümmet M
Bench (10)
50 A. Umar
6 Y. Pehlivan
7 L. Rémy
4 A. Potuk
52 E. Sabo
35 A. Koç
1 T. Çetin
22 E. Topçu
33 S. Yaşar
8 D. Đoković

Coach: H. Hamzaoğlu

Kasimpasa

3-5-2
1 E. Taşkıran G
4 R. Donk D
5 J. Bruma D
25 T. Břečka D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj M
6 L. Sadiku M
15 T. Serbest M
7 M. Trávník M
12 M. Ben Ouannes M
14 N. Jørgensen F
19 U. Bozok F
Bench (10)
10 H. Hajradinović
18 E. Elmalı
34 D. Haspolat
11 Y. Erdoğan
77 N. Dirar
23 H. Tekin
17 A. Engin
80 H. Yeşilyurt
50 B. Selamet
26 M. Yıldırım

Coach: C. Arslan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,84
U
3,36
B
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.