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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Lille

T S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Brest

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

1,4

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 80%

60%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 11. · Brest 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	0	1	+14	27
2	Lens	10	5	3	2	+5	18
3	Nice	9	5	2	2	+12	17
4	Marseille	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	Angers	11	4	5	2	+4	17
6	Nantes	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Lyon	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+6	15
9	Strasbourg	10	4	2	4	+3	14
10	Monaco	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Lille	10	4	2	4	-2	14
12	Lorient	10	3	5	2	-2	14
13	Montpellier	10	3	4	3	+1	13
14	Clermont	11	3	4	4	-8	13
15	Reims	10	2	5	3	-1	11
16	Troyes	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Bordeaux	10	1	5	4	-9	8
18	Metz	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Brest	10	0	5	5	-8	5
20	St Etienne	11	0	5	6	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Lyon	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Nantes	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+7	10
6	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+6	10
7	Strasbourg	6	3	1	2	+6	10
8	Angers	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+3	10
10	Lille	4	3	0	1	+0	9
11	Nice	4	2	2	0	+5	8
12	Lens	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	St Etienne	6	0	4	2	-4	4
18	Brest	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Bordeaux	5	0	3	2	-3	3
20	Metz	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Lens	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Nice	5	3	0	2	+7	9
4	Angers	6	1	4	1	+1	7
5	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Reims	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Nantes	5	1	2	2	+0	5
9	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Lille	6	1	2	3	-2	5
11	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	-6	5
12	Clermont	6	1	2	3	-9	5
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Lorient	6	0	4	2	-5	4
17	Metz	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.