Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 22 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +16 | 18 |
| 3 |
Man City
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 17 |
| 4 |
Brighton
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 9 |
Arsenal
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 |
Brentford
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Leicester
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |
Southampton
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |
Leeds
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 19 |
Newcastle
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -21 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Andersen
D
M. Guehi
D
T. Mitchell
D
C. Gallagher
M
M. Olise
F
O. Édouard
F
Coach: P. Vieira
K. Darlow
G
S. Longstaff
M
C. Wilson
F
Coach: G. Jones
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Leicester
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
D England · 172 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.