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Premier League
Referee: D England
1–1
Full-time
Newcastle
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 7%
13%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
50%
88%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,6
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%
15 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 14. · Newcastle 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 9 7 1 1 +20 22
2 Liverpool 8 5 3 0 +16 18
3 Man City 8 5 2 1 +13 17
4 Brighton 8 4 3 1 +3 15
5 Tottenham 8 5 0 3 -3 15
6 Man United 8 4 2 2 +6 14
7 West Ham 8 4 2 2 +5 14
8 Everton 8 4 2 2 +4 14
9 Arsenal 9 4 2 3 -3 14
10 Brentford 8 3 3 2 +3 12
11 Wolves 8 4 0 4 +0 12
12 Leicester 8 3 2 3 -1 11
13 Aston Villa 9 3 1 5 -2 10
14 Crystal Palace 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Southampton 8 1 4 3 -4 7
16 Watford 8 2 1 5 -8 7
17 Leeds 8 1 3 4 -8 6
18 Burnley 8 0 3 5 -8 3
19 Newcastle 8 0 3 5 -9 3
20 Norwich 9 0 2 7 -21 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Newcastle
Joachim Andersen 🟨
13′
Joel Ward 🟨
26′
27′
🟨 Callum Wilson
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Benteke
T. Mitchell
56′
59′
🟨 Jamaal Lascelles
65′
C. Wilson 1–1
E. Krafth
66′
🔁 M. Almirón
↦ R. Fraser
66′
🔁 J. Willock
↦ S. Longstaff
W. Zaha 🔁
↦ M. Olise
67′
J. Schlupp 🔁
↦ L. Milivojević
73′
81′
🔁 Joelinton
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
J. Mateta 🔁
↦ C. Gallagher
86′
Marc Guéhi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
88′
Christian Benteke 🟨
89′
92′
🟨 Joelinton
94′
🟨 Matt Ritchie
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-3-3
13 Guaita G
2 J. Ward D
16 J. Andersen D
6 M. Guehi D
3 T. Mitchell D
18 J. McArthur M
4 L. Milivojević M
23 C. Gallagher M
7 M. Olise F
20 C. Benteke F
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
11 W. Zaha
15 J. Schlupp
14 J. Mateta
5 J. Tomkins
9 J. Ayew
17 N. Clyne
12 W. Hughes
8 C. Kouyaté
1 J. Butland

Coach: P. Vieira

Newcastle

5-3-2
26 K. Darlow G
2 C. Clark D
17 E. Krafth D
6 J. Lascelles D
19 Javi Manquillo D
11 M. Ritchie D
21 R. Fraser M
14 I. Hayden M
10 A. Saint-Maximin F
36 S. Longstaff M
9 C. Wilson F
Bench (9)
24 M. Almirón
28 J. Willock
7 Joelinton
16 J. Hendrick
34 D. Gayle
12 J. Lewis
23 J. Murphy
29 M. Gillespie
5 F. Schär

Coach: G. Jones

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U ✓
3,61
B
3,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.