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Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

U U S S T

4–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

45%

36%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

18%

36%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 4. · Jagiellonia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	12	8	3	1	+20	27
2	Rakow	11	7	3	1	+8	24
3	Lechia Gdansk	12	6	5	1	+11	23
4	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	4	2	+7	19
5	Slask Wroclaw	11	4	5	2	+1	17
6	Radomiak Radom	12	3	7	2	+3	16
7	Cracovia	11	4	4	3	+0	16
8	Jagiellonia	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Stal Mielec	11	4	3	4	-3	15
10	Zaglebie	10	5	0	5	-4	15
11	Piast Gliwice	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	2	5	-2	14
13	Wisla	11	4	2	5	-2	14
14	Wisla Plock	12	4	1	7	-2	13
15	Legia	9	3	0	6	-3	9
16	Nieciecza	11	1	4	6	-6	7
17	Warta Poznan	11	1	4	6	-7	7
18	Leczna	12	1	3	8	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	7	5	2	0	+16	17
2	Lechia Gdansk	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Pogon Szczecin	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+9	13
5	Radomiak Radom	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Jagiellonia	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Stal Mielec	6	4	0	2	+1	12
8	Slask Wroclaw	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Zaglebie	5	3	0	2	+2	9
10	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	0	3	+0	9
11	Rakow	4	2	2	0	+4	8
12	Cracovia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Wisla	5	2	1	2	+2	7
14	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Legia	4	2	0	2	+1	6
16	Nieciecza	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Leczna	6	1	2	3	-9	5
18	Warta Poznan	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	7	5	1	1	+4	16
2	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Lechia Gdansk	6	2	3	1	+4	9
4	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
5	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	Piast Gliwice	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Wisla	6	2	1	3	-4	7
8	Pogon Szczecin	6	1	3	2	-2	6
9	Zaglebie	5	2	0	3	-6	6
10	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Radomiak Radom	6	0	4	2	-2	4
12	Warta Poznan	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	Jagiellonia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Stal Mielec	5	0	3	2	-4	3
15	Legia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Nieciecza	5	0	2	3	-3	2
17	Leczna	6	0	1	5	-11	1
18	Wisla Plock	7	0	0	7	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.