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Süper Lig
Referee: Ozgur Yankaya
Karagumruk
U U T U T
5–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Genclerbirligi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 30%
35%
24%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
54%
59%
Both score Ø 64%
62%
65%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 10. · Genclerbirligi 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 37 25 6 6 +47 81
2 Fenerbahce 37 23 7 7 +30 76
3 Galatasaray 37 23 6 8 +37 75
4 Trabzonspor 37 17 13 7 +11 64
5 Hatayspor 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 Sivasspor 37 14 16 7 +9 58
7 Alanyaspor 38 16 9 13 +13 57
8 Gaziantep 37 14 12 11 +8 54
9 Goztep 37 13 12 12 +4 51
10 Karagumruk 37 13 12 12 +3 51
11 Konyaspor 37 11 12 14 +0 45
12 Rizespor 38 11 12 15 -15 45
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 38 10 14 14 -2 44
14 Antalyaspor 38 9 16 13 -13 43
15 Buyuksehyr 37 11 10 16 -14 43
16 Kasimpasa 37 10 10 17 -12 40
17 Kayserispor 37 9 12 16 -16 39
18 Ankaragücü 37 10 8 19 -15 38
19 Erzurumspor 38 9 10 19 -24 37
20 Genclerbirligi 37 9 8 20 -29 35
21 Denizlispor 38 6 10 22 -32 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Genclerbirligi
1–0 E. Zukanović
J. Balkovec
8′
2–0 F. Borini
A. Bertolacci
16′
28′
🟨 Bogdan Stancu
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Berişbek
↦ S. Dikmen
46′
🔁 İ. Karakaş
↦ M. Seyhan
46′
🔁 D. Furman
↦ B. Stancu
Jeremain Lens 🟨
56′
V. Hedenstad 🔁
↦ K. Altınay
59′
3–0 A. Ndao
L. Castro
60′
67′
🔁 S. Altıparmak
↦ S. Yılmaz
A. Aktaş 🔁
↦ L. Biglia
71′
E. Tatlı 🔁
↦ L. Castro
71′
4–0 A. Ndao
F. Borini
76′
S. Ahmetoğlu 🔁
↦ J. Balkovec
81′
A. Sobiech 🔁
↦ F. Borini
81′
84′
🔁 Ö. Artan
↦ F. Ayité
87′
🟨 Omurcan Artan
5–0 J. Lens
88′
Enzo Roco 🟨
90′
93′
İ. Karakaş 5–1
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
87 E. Zukanović D
5 E. Roco D
29 J. Balkovec D
4 K. Altınay D
77 J. Lens M
6 L. Biglia M
89 L. Castro M
91 A. Bertolacci M
18 A. Ndao M
16 F. Borini F
Bench (10)
26 V. Hedenstad
23 A. Aktaş
14 E. Tatlı
27 S. Ahmetoğlu
9 A. Sobiech
11 M. Erdinç
12 Y. Aygün
24 V. Arveladze
64 Ö. Ersoy
17 M. Pehlivan

Coach: D. Sassarini

Genclerbirligi

4-2-3-1
1 K. Nordfeldt G
6 Diego Ângelo D
2 M. Johansson D
39 P. Polomat D
4 A. Kızıldağ D
10 S. Yılmaz M
23 R. Piris Da Motta M
8 S. Dikmen M
63 M. Seyhan M
9 B. Stancu F
33 F. Ayité M
Bench (10)
19 R. Berişbek
17 İ. Karakaş
7 D. Furman
26 S. Altıparmak
27 Ö. Artan
30 L. Mugni
3 H. Pehlivan
12 M. Akbaş
44 Ü. Adıyaman
88 M. Yıldırım

Coach: Ö. Bizati

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,58
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ozgur Yankaya · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.