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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Standard
T U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Gent
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
58%
61%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 13. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 34 23 6 5 +47 75
2 Genk 34 18 10 6 +27 64
3 Antwerp 33 19 7 7 +18 64
4 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
5 Mechelen 33 16 8 9 +10 56
6 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
7 Gent 33 15 7 11 +23 52
8 Oostende 33 15 7 11 +10 52
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
10 Anderlecht 33 11 17 5 +15 50
11 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
12 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
13 Standard 33 12 9 12 +3 45
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 35 8 8 19 -26 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Gent
8′
R. Bezus 0–1
A. Castro-Montes
45′
🟨 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe
Half-time 0–1
A. Tapsoba 🔁
↦ A. Calut
59′
1–1 S. Amallah
A. Tapsoba
61′
65′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ T. Tissoudali
65′
🔁 S. Kums
↦ R. Bezus
S. Bastien 🔁
↦ G. Cimirot
66′
Selim Amallah 🟨
70′
Nicolas Gavory 🟨
72′
C. Fai 🔁
↦ A. Delferriere
74′
2–1 M. Balikwisha
77′
82′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
82′
🔁 N. Dorsch
↦ E. Owusu
João Klauss 🟨
85′
89′
🟨 Niklas Dorsch
Abdoul Tapsoba 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Standard

3-4-3
16 A. Bodart G
27 L. Jans M
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
42 A. Delferriere D
8 G. Cimirot M
19 S. Amallah F
26 N. Raskin M
38 A. Calut M
14 Klauss F
32 M. Balikwisha F
Bench (7)
23 A. Tapsoba
28 S. Bastien
21 C. Fai
43 N. Ngoy
1 J. Gillet
15 E. Shamir
33 D. Pavlovic

Coach: M. Leye

Gent

5-3-2
1 S. Bolat G
31 B. Godeau D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
9 R. Bezus M
6 E. Owusu M
34 T. Tissoudali F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
23 Y. Malede
24 S. Kums
29 L. Depoitre
30 N. Dorsch
33 D. Roef
12 A. De Bruyn
36 D. Arslanagić

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,65
U
3,19
B
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.